China News Service, August 11 (Zhongxin Finance reporter Zuo Yukun) In this place where "Ji R" and "Jingpai" can be seen everywhere, everyone remembers 2017, but never goes back to 2017.
One river, two cities
Unlike most people who work and live in Beijing, Peng Yan (pseudonym), who lives in Yanjiao and works in Beijing, has the word "commuting" next to her photo of Beijing Healthbao.
"As long as there is this commuting standard, the nucleic acid results obtained in Hebei will be synchronized to Beijing Healthbao, but occasionally it is not stable." The repeated epidemics make Peng Yan often face the problem of commuting into Beijing. She still remembers that the policy just came out At the time, he enthusiastically went to the checkpoint to submit his residence certificate, work certificate, etc.
My husband is too lazy to apply, and he will automatically be marked with it after a few round trips.
Beijing health treasure with the word "commuting".
Photo courtesy of the interviewee
In this place where "Ji R" and "Jing Brand" can be seen everywhere, there are still many people like Peng Yan. By the end of 2021, the information database of commuters around Beijing has entered 920,000 people.
They are mainly distributed in two groups, one is Beisan County, which is called "big banana" - Dachang, Xianghe, Yanjiao; the other is "Langan Zhuo" in the middle - Langfang City, Gu'an, Zhuozhou.
Among the value echelons around Beijing, Yanjiao, a small town in Langfang, which is only 30 kilometers away from the center of Beijing and across the river from Tongzhou, is among the best.
"Yanjiao is the strongest in Beisan County. It is very close to the core area of Tongzhou, Beijing. Especially many Beidrifts who work in the east live in Yanjiao." "Beijing Demolition Brother", who has long been concerned about Beijing's real estate buying circle, told Zhongxin Finance and Economics According to the reporter, the housing price in Yanjiao is relatively the strongest in Beijing, and the purchase demand is also the most prosperous.
Xiao Xu, a real estate agent in Yanjiao, is a native of Hebei who loves barbecue. He remembers that when he first started working as an agency in 2010, there was a northeastern barbecue restaurant in front of the store. At that time, the barbecue was only one or two yuan, but he was reluctant to buy it, so he brought his own However, the chef often treats himself to eat generously.
The master told him that there is hope in our business.
At that time, the house price in Yanjiao was about 5,000 yuan/㎡, which was in a stage of steady growth.
Xiao Xu remembers meeting a guest at that time. In 2008, taking advantage of the wind of the Beijing Olympics, he bought a house in Yanjiao at a price of about 4,000 yuan/㎡, and sold it when it rose to 7,000 yuan/㎡. .
But what was caught off guard was that Tongzhou became the sub-center of Beijing in 2015, and in 2016, the property market in Beijing heated up sharply, and a large amount of housing demand spilled over to the area around Beijing.
"The market at that time was like crazy. Just in need and real estate speculation came together. The intermediary didn't even have time to go out to hand out flyers, and they had to hire someone to go out on the street." Xiao Xu recalled that in less than a year, he handled the House prices have basically doubled, and the closer they are to Beijing, the more they rise.
In 2017, which was coerced by the difficult real estate market and numerous concepts of "the rise of sub-centers", the unit price of Yanjiao once touched 40,000 yuan, and some projects were even priced at nearly 50,000 yuan.
"At that time, there were people who joined together to detain the house, fantasizing that the house price exceeded 50,000 yuan or even 60,000 yuan to make a fortune. No one thought that they would be a 'pan man'." Xiao Xu said.
But "Crazy" soon waited for the "Hooping Curse".
In 2017, Beijing's "317" New Deal and Langfang's purchase restrictions were upgraded, and Yanjiao jumped directly from the carnival of "real estate speculation" to the mess of "halving housing prices". Examples of blood loss and abandoned houses are not uncommon.
"It fell in less than a year. The most notable is Yanjiao, where the unit price has dropped from more than 30,000 to 16,000. Overall, it has dropped by 50%-60%." Brother Cie said, another example is Langfang City. The district's high unit price in early 2018 was around 18,000 yuan, and now it may be "ten thousand to zero", or eight or nine thousand yuan to get the shot.
Data map: The Yanchao Bridge connecting Tongzhou District, Beijing and Yanjiao National High-tech Industrial Development Zone, Sanhe City, Hebei Province.
Photo by China News Agency reporter Song Mintao
Under the New Deal, has there been restlessness?
According to the monitoring data of the Shell Research Institute, the average transaction price of second-hand housing in Langfang in July this year was about 13,000 yuan per square meter, a drop of nearly 60% from the high point of the average transaction price in 2017, and a drop of 15% from the average price of the same period last year.
"Yanjiao's housing prices will rise for a while in 2021. The opportunity is that people without local hukou and three-year social security can buy a house, as long as they have a work certificate in Beijing." Xiao Xu recalled, but because there was no explicit policy, the procedures were also It needs to be finished quickly, so second-hand houses with simple procedures were popular at that time.
Recently, Langfang finally waited for the official announcement of the loosening of purchase restrictions and sales restrictions.
According to the official website of the Langfang Municipal People's Government of Hebei Province, restrictive housing purchase conditions such as household registration and social security (personal tax) that are not suitable for the current real estate market situation will be cancelled, and housing sales will be restricted in the "Three North Counties" and surrounding counties (cities) of Xiong'an New Area. The age requirement has also been completely abolished.
"We are not surprised by this, because some places have been quietly released before." Brother Demolition also mentioned that people in Yanjiao have been buying houses since last year, including some investors. They have felt that there may be relaxation of regulation. .
"However, so far, the housing prices in Yanjiao have not changed much. The Beijing Metro Line 22, which is under construction, passes through Yanjiao. There is indeed a feeling of increase along the subway line, but the increase is very weak, about 300 to 400 yuan per square meter." brother said.
Beijing citizen Ms. Nie recently went to Yanjiao to see some houses.
"It's said that housing prices in Yanjiao are still falling this year. If you have some spare money, you want to buy an improved house, or you can earn about 20% in a few years."
According to Ms. Nie, the average unit price of the houses she sees ranges from 21,000 to 23,000 yuan, and they are basically high-rise.
"However, some are too dense and have a strong sense of depression, some are well-equipped and not ideal, and some are close to the subway but have poor facilities. In short, I haven't picked one that is very satisfactory. But the price is acceptable, after all, the house price of Tiantongyuan is 3 10,000-40,000 yuan."
"Some people say that Yanjiao, like Hong Kong, is full of high-rise buildings, basically 25 to 30 floors above; Dachang is very close to the new site of the Beijing Municipal Government, the density is relatively moderate, and you can still see the river view." Due to the different characteristics of different areas in Beijing, he believes that this policy will be beneficial to Yanjiao, Dachang, Gu'an, etc., and may be weaker to Xianghe and Langfang urban areas.
Data map: The bus from Guomao in Beijing's CBD business district to Yanjiao.
Photo by China News Service reporter Li Peiyun
What year can the housing prices around Beijing go back to?
"My colleague drove from Guomao to Langfang for a meeting, and the round trip is more than 100 kilometers. It is a business trip and can be reimbursed; also from Guomao to Changping for a meeting, it is also 100 kilometers away, but it cannot be reimbursed because it is in the city." As Peng Yan said, The biggest reason that prevents many people who just need to buy a house in the area around Beijing is that "no matter how close you are to Beijing, it is not Beijing."
A month ago, Ren Xi (pseudonym), who lived in Changping's house, got up early and came to Yanjiao smoothly. The 70-kilometer journey took almost exactly 70 minutes.
She remembered that the last time she came to Yanjiao was a few years ago, and it was also a hot summer. Her eyes flashed, and she was photographed breaking the rules as soon as she entered Yanjiao City.
Ren Xi entered the market at a low price in 2008, bought a property in Yanjiao and settled in Yanjiao.
But in 2013, he sold his house in Yanjiao and moved to Changping in order to better his children's further education.
"At that time, the house price was gradually rising, and I could earn more than 100,000 yuan by selling it a week later, but my selling price also doubled the principal. I didn't feel very uncomfortable thinking about it for the sake of my children."
This year, Ren Xi successfully settled in Beijing with points, ended the life of separation from households, and completely cut off the connection with Yanjiao.
"I heard that the housing prices in the community at that time fell back to 2016, but some people are still paying their monthly payments. Many people can't accept it."
Yanjiao housing prices can go back to what year?
Many people are thinking about this question.
"In any case, we can't go back to 2017. The average price of 40,000 yuan is comparable to the price of some second-hand houses in Tongzhou. This phenomenon is unreasonable in terms of administrative areas and supporting facilities." Xiao Xu believes.
However, the steady recovery of housing prices around Beijing is also good news.
"A person who knows someone bought a house in the urban area of Langfang with a unit price of 15,000 yuan. In 2020, it will be listed for more than 8,000 yuan and no one will see it. Now she may have an opportunity to understand the situation." Brother Demolition also mentioned.
"The cancellation of purchase and sales restrictions will help activate the market. Some of the backlogged demand that has been suppressed by policies, the epidemic and other factors is expected to be released in a concentrated manner in the short term, bringing about a rebound in transaction volume." Tang Xuan, a senior analyst at Shell Research Institute, believes that this round of policy release Opening will not cause the market to overheat, and it will not trigger a rapid rise in house prices.
"On the one hand, the problem of new home delivery caused by the liquidity difficulties of housing enterprises is still an important factor in suppressing the market recovery. On the other hand, it will take some time for the policy to be introduced to the restoration of home buyers' expectations and confidence." Tang Xuan said.
For many people living in Yanjiao, in addition to favorable policies, confidence is equally important.
Peng Yan mentioned that the "Transportation Development and Construction Plan for the Sub-center of Beijing (Tongzhou District) during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period" proposed to "study the possibility and plan of setting up comprehensive checkpoints in Beijing to the eastern and southern borders of Beisan County, and promote The interconnection between the sub-center of the city and Beisan County and the convenience of travel” are very encouraging to them.
"Everything will gradually improve, but there will be no more barbecues that cost one or two yuan." Xiao Xu said.
(Finish)
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