A few days ago, a news that "experts say China's housing is not enough" rushed to the hot search.

So what is the current per capita housing area in China?

Where are the gaps still larger?

  The National Bureau of Statistics recently released the "China Population Census Yearbook-2020", which disclosed the sub-item data of the seventh population census in detail.

Data show that the per capita living area of ​​households in my country reached 41.76 square meters, an increase of 10.7 square meters compared with 2010 (31.06 square meters), an increase of 34.45%.

  Zhang Bo, Dean of 58 Anju Room Real Estate Research Institute, analyzed the first financial analysis. From this data, my country's per capita living area has increased by a large margin in the past ten years. This is also the rapid development of the real estate market in the past ten years. A big result.

However, on this basis, the differentiation between regions is still very obvious.

  In terms of urban and rural areas, the data shows that the per capita housing construction area of ​​households in rural areas has increased from 31.73 square meters in 2010 to 46.8 square meters in 2020, an increase of 15.07 square meters in ten years, an increase of 47.5%.

The per capita housing area in rural areas has increased significantly. On the one hand, with economic development, housing conditions in rural areas have been continuously improved in recent years.

On the other hand, it is also related to urbanization and population mobility. A large number of people have flowed into cities, and there are fewer people living in rural houses, and the per capita housing area has also increased.

  At the town level (according to the statistical division of urban and rural areas, a town refers to the township area of ​​an approved township. Among the population at the town level, the county seat is the most important part) The per capita housing area has increased from 32.03 square meters in 2010. To 42.29 square meters in 2020, an increase of 10.26 square meters in ten years, an increase of 32%.

  In contrast, the per capita housing area of ​​urban households rose from 29.15 square meters in 2010 to 36.52 square meters in 2020, an increase of 7.37 square meters or 25.2% in ten years.

It can be seen that the increment and growth rate of urban per capita housing area is not only much smaller than that of villages and towns, but also significantly lower than the average level.

  In terms of provinces, the increments in the past ten years have also varied greatly.

Judging from the changes in the per capita housing area of ​​urban residents in 31 provinces, there are 7 provinces whose per capita housing area has increased by more than 10 square meters in the past ten years, namely Tibet, Qinghai, Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang, Shaanxi, Shanxi and Guizhou, mainly from the central and western regions. region and the Northeast.

  In contrast, in the past ten years, the per capita housing area of ​​urban households in 7 provinces has increased by less than 6 square meters, namely Guangdong, Chongqing, Shandong, Shanghai, Fujian, Beijing and Zhejiang, mainly from the eastern coastal areas and the central and western regions. area.

Among them, Guangdong, the largest economic province, has the lowest increment, and the urban per capita housing area has only increased by 3.22 square meters in the past ten years.

  Zhang Bo said that the small increase in per capita housing area in cities such as Guangdong and Zhejiang is related to the large inflow of population in these places and the large population increase in the past ten years.

Including Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Dongguan, Foshan in Guangdong, Hangzhou, Ningbo in Zhejiang and other places in the forefront of the country in terms of population inflow, but because the supply level has not met the increase in demand brought about by the rapid inflow of population, the per capita housing area will increase relatively. Slow down.

  Data from the seventh national census shows that from 2010 to 2020, the permanent population of Guangdong Province increased by 21.7094 million, an increase of 20.81%, and the increase in Guangdong accounted for 30% of the national increase.

Among the permanent resident population of the province, the inflow population (more than half a year) from other provinces reached 29.6221 million, an increase of 8.1234 million over 2010, with an average annual growth of 3.26%. The inflows were mainly concentrated in the Pearl River Delta region.

  After Guangdong, Zhejiang increased by more than 10 million in ten years, reaching 10.1407 million.

Among them, in the past ten years, Hangzhou's population has soared by 3.24 million, with an average annual increase of 324,000.

  The large number of floating population also means that there are many people renting houses, and many people rent houses that are not too large.

This also results in a smaller per capita housing area.

  Zhang Bo said that in addition to population mobility, the per capita housing area has a lot to do with housing prices in different regions and the affordability of housing prices.

Housing prices in many first- and second-tier cities, including Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Zhuhai, Dongguan, etc., are relatively high. When the total housing price is high, residents may be more inclined to pursue functionality at the expense of comfort when buying a house.

  For example, in the current new housing market in Guangzhou and other places, there are more and more three-bedroom, two-bathroom units of more than 90 square meters, three-bedroom and one-bathroom units of about 80 square meters, and many four-bedroom, two-bathroom units are only 110 to 120 square meters. About meters, there are many rooms, but the area is small, and the pursuit of functionality will also lead to a relatively limited increase in the per capita living area.

  Zhang Bo said that in the past few years, many people have returned to their hometowns to buy properties, buying houses in third- and fourth-tier cities or near their hometowns, but they did not go to live there themselves, but lived with their parents or vacated them, which invisibly expanded the city where their hometown is located. However, in the cities where the actual work is located, such as the Pearl River Delta and other places, no houses have been bought, so the increase in the per capita housing area in these coastal areas is also relatively limited.

  Zhang Bo believes that, in general, in areas with a large population inflow, such as Guangzhou, Shenzhen and other places in Guangdong, there is still a relatively large room for housing growth in the future.

From the perspective of future development, the housing needs of these places will not only be met through the commercial housing market, but also through the development of housing leasing, and through various means and multiple channels to meet the living needs of new citizens.

  Author: Lin Xiaozhao