After the adjustment of the circuit breaker measures for international flights: international air ticket bookings increased by 20%

　　China News Service, August 12 (Zhongxin Finance and Economics Ge Cheng) "Since the release of the new circuit breaker measures, the search volume of international air tickets on the platform has increased by nearly 50% compared with the same period last year. In the past week, the number of international air ticket bookings has increased by nearly 20% compared to last year. "——The data released by Fliggy a few days ago shows that international routes are recovering rapidly.

　　Since the implementation of the circuit breaker policy for international passenger flights in June 2020, the Civil Aviation Administration has adjusted the circuit breaker measures many times.

The most recent adjustment was on August 7.

According to industry insiders, this adjustment is expected to give the civil aviation industry, which was previously affected by the epidemic, an opportunity to reverse the situation.

Data map Photo by China News Agency reporter Wang Gang

The fuse measures have been adjusted many times 

　　Since June 2020, the Civil Aviation Administration has adjusted the circuit breaker policy for international passenger flights several times.

　　On June 4, 2020, the "Notice of the Civil Aviation Administration on Adjusting International Passenger Flights" issued by the Civil Aviation Administration of China clarifies that if the number of passengers with positive nucleic acid test results after entry reaches 5 for the same airline flight, the airline will suspend the airline. It will run for 1 week; if it reaches 10, the company will suspend the operation of this route for 4 weeks.

After the "circuit breaker" period ends, airlines can resume their weekly flight schedule.

　　In December of the same year, the policy was tightened and adjusted to "if the number of positive passengers reaches 5, the company's route will be suspended for 2 weeks; if the number of positive passengers reaches 10, the company's route will be suspended for 4 weeks."

The adjustment and comparison of the circuit breaker mechanism for international flights of the Civil Aviation Administration of China.

　　On April 28, 2021, the Civil Aviation Administration adjusted the circuit breaker policy from "positive passengers" to "diagnosed passengers", and added the "immediate circuit breaker" measure.

The policy is clear, "If the number of confirmed passengers on a single entry flight of an airline reaches 10, the flight will be suspended for 4 weeks from the fourth week of entry, and the award flight will be cancelled. If the number of confirmed passengers on two consecutive flights reaches 10, Immediately that week, the operation was suspended for a total of 8 weeks. If the number of confirmed passengers on a single entry flight of an airline reaches 30, the circuit will be immediately shut down that week, and the operation of the flight will be suspended for 4 weeks.”

　　At the same time, in the Civil Aviation Administration's policy on April 28, 2021, the regulations for the number of confirmed passengers on a single entry flight to reach 5 were also detailed, providing airlines with two ways to restrict operations for their own choice: ( 1) Flight circuit breaker measures: From the fourth week of entry, the flight will be suspended for 2 weeks, and award flights will be cancelled; (2) Operational measures to control the passenger load factor: From the fourth week of entry, the flight will be restricted to Run above 40% load factor for 4 weeks and cancel award flights.

　　On August 7, 2022, the Civil Aviation Administration adjusted the circuit breaker measures for international flights again, "for single-entry flights of airlines with 5 confirmed passengers, when the proportion of confirmed passengers reaches 4% of the number of inbound passengers on the flight, the operation will be suspended for 1 week; When the proportion of confirmed passengers reaches 8% of the number of inbound passengers on the flight, the operation will be suspended for 2 weeks."

　　Among them, the circuit breaker time for international flights has been halved, and the

.

Seat numbers on some flights.

(Source: Air Travel Aspects)

Expert: It will play a positive role in the civil aviation industry

　　In the opinion of industry experts, this adjustment can be described as "timely rain" for some international routes.

　　"It is different from the old circuit breaker measures based on the number of entries, and the new circuit breaker measures are calculated according to the proportion of the number of entries." Civil aviation expert Li Hanming told China-Singapore Finance and Economics

.

　　Taking the wide-body Boeing 777-300(ER) as an example, the number of seats on the aircraft is 311. According to the 75% occupancy rate, a small circuit breaker is triggered when the confirmed diagnosis reaches 4%. The trigger condition is that 9 people are diagnosed; the diagnosis reaches 8%. , the trigger condition is 18 confirmed cases.

　　The narrow-body Boeing 737-800 has a seating capacity of 167. According to the same 75% occupancy rate, a small circuit breaker is triggered when the diagnosis reaches 4%, and the trigger condition is that 5 people are diagnosed; the diagnosis reaches 8%. 10 people.

Consistent with the previous standard for small fuses (5 persons) and large fuses (10 persons).

　　"Usually, the wide-body aircraft used for long-haul international routes such as Europe and the United States and the narrow-body aircraft used for domestic routes and international routes within Asia have a large difference in the number of passengers (generally more than twice). "Li Hanming said that the wide-body machine is more likely to trigger a fuse under the old absolute number mechanism, which affects the international exchanges between my country and European and American countries to a certain extent.

　　Qi Qi, a specially-appointed expert from the China Air Transport Association Transportation Experts Think Tank and Deputy Dean of the School of Economics and Management of Guangzhou Civil Aviation Vocational and Technical College, also expressed the same view to Zhongxin Finance, "The previous version was an absolute number, and the new version is a relative number. The triggering standard for the circuit breaker mechanism is activated. Upgrading is obviously more reasonable for domestic and foreign airlines that use large wide-body aircraft to perform long-haul flights in Europe and the United States."

　　Earlier, the three major domestic airlines (Air China, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines) released a pre-loss announcement for the first half of 2022, showing that in the first half of the year, the three major airlines are expected to lose a total of 45.7 billion to 52.6 billion yuan, exceeding the loss for the whole year of last year. lump sum.

　　"Because the overall passenger flow of domestic routes is not enough, many wide-body passenger aircraft cannot be put into use, but expenses such as rent and depreciation costs have not slowed down." Li Hanming told Zhongxin Finance that the main reason for the loss of the three major airlines is that wide-body passenger aircraft is relatively large. more, exacerbating the cost pressure.

Many international routes have not yet resumed, and the utilization rate of wide-body passenger aircraft is less than 30% of the original.

"Some wide-body airliners can only fly for two to three hours a day, while the original is about eight hours."

　　"The development of the civil aviation industry must obey the overall situation of national epidemic prevention." Qi Qi said that the

the civil aviation industry. Organize manpower and material resources in a timely manner to ensure the resumption of flights and the increase of available seats on the premise of aviation system safety in the short term."

Data map Photo by China News Agency reporter Wang Gang

Further adjustments depend on risk assessment

　　So, will future policies continue to be adjusted?

　　"International routes are currently in a serious state of 'in short supply'." Qi Qi said that triggering the upgrade of the circuit breaker mechanism to start the standard

.

　　"(The new circuit breaker mechanism) will stabilize the supply of seats on international scheduled flights to a certain extent, thereby facilitating the necessary personnel exchanges between China and overseas countries and regions." Qi Qi also said that

, and it is also a positive step to gradually resume international scheduled passenger flights and increase the supply of passenger aircraft belly space.

　　In addition, in the opinion of experts, the epidemic prevention software and hardware capabilities of airlines, airports and flight entry places will be released to a large extent.

　　"In short, the same hardware facilities and security personnel can meet more entry quarantine and treatment of infected people." However, Qi Qi also emphasized, "

must maintain the hard-won prevention and control results of China under the normalization of epidemic prevention and control."

　　According to reports, Air China, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines and other airlines have recently announced that they will resume direct flights between China and the UK starting from mid-August (End)

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