Our reporter Xiong Li

　　In the first half of this year, the international environment has become more complex and severe, the domestic epidemic has significantly impacted, and the downward pressure on my country's economy has increased.

In the face of difficulties and challenges, various regions and departments have efficiently coordinated epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development, and focused on stabilizing the macroeconomic market. Since May, positive changes in economic performance have increased.

　　Experts believe that my country's economy is expected to recover faster in the second half of the year, but it still faces many difficulties and challenges.

To promote the return of economic operation to the normal track as soon as possible, we must continue to efficiently coordinate epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development, and put stable growth in a more prominent position.

　　The economy is expected to recover

　　In June, the average daily business volume of express delivery recovered to more than 300 million pieces, exceeding the level of the same period last year; in the first six months, the national railway sent a total of 1.946 billion tons of goods, an increase of 5.5% year-on-year, and a number of freight indicators such as the average daily volume of goods sent a record. ; China's retail business climate index was 50.2 in July, returning to the expansion range in the traditional retail off-season; in June, the manufacturing PMI and non-manufacturing PMI both returned to the expansion range, and market expectations have improved... A number of data show that my country's economy is steadily growing recover.

　　"The economic operation showed a marginal improvement in June, indicating that the effect of the package of policies to stabilize the broader economic market has begun to show." Wei Qijia, director of the Industry Office of the Forecast Department of the State Information Center and researcher, said that production in the Yangtze River Delta and Northeast regions, which were hit hard by the epidemic, improved significantly. , the economy stabilized and improved.

This is due to my country's efficient coordination of epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development, continuous increase in macro policy adjustment, efforts to stabilize the macroeconomic market, and protection and improvement of people's livelihood.

　　The research group of the China Macroeconomic Forum of Renmin University of China recently released a report that my country's economy has begun to bottom out.

With the comprehensive advance of existing policies, the continuous introduction of incremental policies, the strong supervision of the central government, and the implementation of government departments at all levels, the short-term policy goals of positive economic growth and declining unemployment in the second quarter are expected to be achieved.

　　Wang Yiming, vice chairman of the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, said that there are many favorable conditions for economic recovery in the second half of the year.

First, the most difficult period for the economy has passed, and the economy has entered a recovery phase in general.

With the subsidence of the impact of the epidemic, stable growth has become the main tone of macro policies. The resumption of work and production, business resumption and the market have been fully promoted, and the economic recovery trend has basically taken shape; secondly, the implementation of the stable growth policy will accelerate the return of the economy to the normal track, and will provide a solid foundation for the economy next year. A better foundation for growth.

In addition, my country has accumulated more experience in coordinating epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development.

　　"Looking forward to the second half of the year, with the implementation of policies and demand recovery, the economy is expected to achieve a recovery recovery; with strong policy support, it is expected to approach and achieve the expected goals." Lian Ping, Chief Economist and Dean of the Research Institute of Zhixin Investment It is believed that with the improvement of the epidemic prevention and control situation, investment will maintain a steady and rapid growth, and the growth rate of exports is likely to further accelerate.

　　Minimize the impact of the epidemic

　　"The epidemic must be prevented, the economy must be stabilized, and development must be safe." This is the clear requirement of the Party Central Committee.

Ou Hong, deputy secretary-general of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that the current epidemic situation is still severe and complex, and we must unswervingly adhere to the general strategy of "foreign defense against imports and internal defense against rebound" and the general policy of "dynamic clearing", and adjust and improve the epidemic situation according to the time and situation. Prevention and control measures, resolutely avoid simplification, one-size-fits-all and layer-by-layer overweight.

At the same time, seize the time window, further unblock transportation and logistics, accelerate the resumption of work and production, effectively secure the bottom line of people's livelihood, and minimize the impact of the epidemic on economic and social development.

　　Yang Weimin, member of the Standing Committee of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and deputy director of the Economic Committee, said that there are many new challenges to stabilize the economy, employment, and prices. We should further introduce incremental policies based on changes in the situation and the principles of refocusing, intensifying efforts, and benefiting the long-term.

　　Yang Weimin said that the epidemic may recur, and the epidemic prevention and control measures should be more scientific and precise, and the epidemic prevention and control policies should be further clarified and refined, so as to stabilize the expectations of enterprises and residents.

　　A smooth economic cycle must have smooth logistics.

Cai Tuanjie, director of the Department of Transportation Services of the Ministry of Transport, said that he will continue to consolidate and expand the effectiveness of logistics, and provide a strong logistics guarantee for promoting the stability of the industrial chain and supply chain and effectively stabilizing the economic market.

　　"Epidemic prevention and control, normal production and life, and economic and social development are by no means either 'single-choice questions', but complementary and dialectically unified." Wei Qijia believes that the key to "efficient overall planning" lies in adhering to the concept of a system and using dialectics Thinking, while doing all the work of epidemic prevention and control, we will make every effort to promote the stable and healthy development of the economy.

From the perspective of focus, it is necessary to continue to ensure people's livelihood, strengthen the construction of a public health emergency response system, ensure smooth and stable industrial and supply chains, intensify efforts to assist enterprises in bailout policies, and respond to social concerns in a timely manner.

　　Tap into new drivers of economic growth

　　At present, the foundation of my country's economic recovery is not yet solid. We must focus on solving outstanding problems in economic operation, efficiently coordinate epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development, and coordinate stable growth, structural adjustment, and reform to promote sustainable and healthy economic development.

　　Ou Hong said that it is necessary to accelerate the implementation of various established policies to achieve results, break through the blocking points that restrict the economic cycle, expand effective demand, intensify efforts to help enterprises, take multiple measures to stabilize employment, and ensure the supply and price of important goods for people's livelihood. , further release the policy effect, effectively stabilize the economic market, and keep the economy operating within a reasonable range.

　　Wei Qijia believes that in terms of investment, it is necessary to continue to expand effective investment, accurately grasp the direction and focus of effective investment, and effectively play a key role in investment.

Coordinate and make good use of various government investment funds, and give full play to their traction and leveraging role in expanding effective investment; in terms of consumption, actively carry out consumption promotion activities to drive consumption in an all-round way; Fiscal, taxation and financial support, helping enterprises to seize orders to expand the market, stabilizing the foreign trade industry chain and supply chain, etc., continue to make efforts, continue to support enterprises to make full use of relevant policies and measures, and help foreign trade enterprises develop steadily and healthily.

　　"With the adjustment of macroeconomic policies, consumption may pick up in the second half of this year." Liu Wei, president of Renmin University of China, suggested that in the future, we should still firmly grasp the strategic basis for expanding consumption, and focus on both supply and demand. institutional arrangements.

On the demand side, institutional arrangements should be strengthened in terms of promoting employment, strengthening vocational skills training, improving resource allocation, improving the tax system, expanding middle-income groups, rationally adjusting housing prices, and rationally improving social and public services.

The supply side must actively promote the supply-side structural reform, improve the quality of supply, strengthen the protection of intellectual property rights, improve the market transaction environment, eliminate information asymmetry between the two sides of the transaction, and reduce transaction costs.

　　The China Economic and Financial Research Group of the Bank of China Research Institute believes that in the second half of the year, the external environment will become more severe and complex, and domestic demand is the key to stabilizing the macroeconomic market.

We must implement a package of policies to stabilize the economy and make every effort to stabilize growth, employment, expectations, and people's livelihood.

Optimize epidemic prevention and control measures to minimize the impact of the epidemic on the economy; active fiscal policy will fully help companies bail out and expand effective investment, and monetary policy will better play its structural function; further play the role of investment in supporting the economy. The "all-in-one" boosts consumption recovery; supports reasonable demand from both supply and demand ends, and promotes the stable development of the real estate market.

　　Wang Yiming believes that in the long run, the key is to tap new momentum for economic growth.

Last year, my country's per capita GDP reached 12,500 US dollars, which is still far behind developed countries.

However, there is also a lot of room for cultivating new kinetic energy, which can promote economic growth by strengthening the construction of original innovation capabilities, promoting the digital transformation of the manufacturing industry and upgrading the industrial chain, expanding the middle-income group, and promoting the urbanization of the agricultural population.