<Anchor> This
is a friendly economic time.
Today (the 4th) I will be with reporter Han Ji-yeon.
It is predicted that imported grain prices will rise further in the third quarter of this year.
<Reporter>
Yes, it is the result of a survey by the Korea Rural Economic Research Institute, and I saw that food consumption increased by 13% and feed consumption by 12% compared to the second quarter.
The import unit price index, which was compared with the 2015 level at 100, is on an upward trend for the 7th quarter.
From March to June, international grain prices peaked due to the Ukraine war.
The price is going up because the quantity purchased at this time is imported into Korea from the third quarter of this year.
Usually, when importing grain, payment is made 3 to 6 months after signing a contract.
But now, the won-dollar exchange rate has jumped to around 1,300 won, so I have no choice but to pay more than when I signed the contract.
I'm worried that food prices and eating out prices will inevitably jump more in the future.
<Anchor>
In the midst of this, the National Statistical Office will announce the consumer price inflation rate for June tomorrow.
What do the experts see?
<Reporter>
The inflation rate in May was 5.4%, the highest in 13 years and 9 months.
June is sure to be higher than this.
There are also predictions that it will exceed 6%.
If this happens, it will exceed 6% for the first time since November 1998, 23 years and 7 months ago.
However, the bigger question is whether this is the peak or less likely.
Electricity and gas rates have increased since this month.
This alone increases the burden by 3,800 won per month based on a family of four.
There are also reasons for inflationary pressure to grow stronger for some time to come.
Ahead of Chuseok, the demand for holy items is expected to increase in July and August.
International oil and commodities prices continue to rise.
The war in Ukraine shows no sign of ending, and there are concerns about crop damage due to a global drought.
<Anchor>
Are you saying that the trading value of individual investors in the stock market is declining significantly?
<Reporter>
Yes, up to May, it was around 5-6 trillion won, but last month it dropped to 4.3 trillion won, the lowest level in two years and four months.
In January of last year, when the KOSPI broke the 3,000 mark for the first time, the trading value soared to about 17.3 trillion won.
Compared to this, it has decreased sharply by about a quarter.
It fell by one-third from June of last year, a year ago.
Inflation in the US is soaring, and raising the US benchmark interest rate to a giant step had a big impact last month.
The top 10 domestic stocks with individual net buying this year fell more than 30%.
The KOSPI also fell more than 21% as of the first half of the year, the biggest decline in 32 years.
<Anchor>
How do experts see the future of our stock market?
<Reporter>
There is a forecast that the lower limit of the KOSPI could reach 2,260 this week.
It seems that the wait-and-see attitude will continue for the time being.
Economic indicators are coming out one after another, and we need to look at these.
The next day, the Fed's FOMC minutes will be released.
Here, you can check the stance of US Fed members on how much they will raise interest rates this month.
Another thing to pay attention to is the US Consumer Price Index for June to be announced on the 13th. If inflationary pressure is severe, the possibility of going to the Giant Step is high.
In addition, the domestic situation is ahead of the earnings season, when companies announce their results in the second quarter, starting with Samsung Electronics.
It is predicted that the operating profit of 3 out of 10 listed companies decreased compared to the same period last year.
It is an analysis that it is difficult to have a positive impact on the market.