• The price of more than half of the products we consume is already rising above 4% year-on-year

Coffee with milk and toast with butter and jam;

tea and a slice of bread with olive oil and salt;

an orange juice and an omelette, and a bowl of milk with cereal.

This

breakfast

, which could be that of

any family

of four members,

will cost 12% more today

than a year ago if the family chosen for the example is

Spanish.

An increase three times higher than that registered if the family is

French

, double what has risen for an

Italian

and 30% more than what has increased for a

German

house .

It is the effect of inflation

, which has risen in Spain by 8.7% in May, according to the data advanced this Monday by the INE, and which already generates

two perverse effects

on the country's economy: on the one hand,

it is spreading to all the elements of the shopping basket

without any contention dam and, on the other hand, it affects

more virulently

than in the rest of European countries.

Core

inflation

, which measures the evolution of prices excluding those of energy and fresh food, serves as a thermometer to know how the rest of the country's prices fluctuate and in the month of May it rose by

4.9%

year-on-year, average point more than in April and the highest figure since October 1995.

The general index has also surprised on the upside, since it was expected that after the peak reached in March -of 9.8%- the IPC would begin a downward path.

After moderating to 8.3% in April, however, it

is now up again to 8.7%.

The result is an

impoverishment

of families, who as soon as they start the day already have to pay

12% more than a year ago to be able to have breakfast.

Bread has

risen

10.1%;

butter ,

12.8

%;

breakfast

cereals

, 6%;

milk ,

14

%;

yogurts ,

10.9

%;

coffee ,

10.7

%;

sugar ,

3.3

%;

tea

,

7.7%,

cocoa

and

chocolate

powder, 10.2%;

juices ,

7.6

%;

fruits ,

9.5

%;

olive oil

,

42.5%;

and

eggs

, 21.6%.

Rises, collected by the National Institute of Statistics (INE) at the end of April, which far exceed those experienced in other European countries.

According to the data of the

homologous institutes

in Germany, France and Italy, all these common products in the first hours of the day on the tables of European homes have risen in the last year, but in no case as much as in Spain.

This

breakfast

is today

in Germany 8.2% more expensive;

in

Italy, 5.5%

and in

France, 4% higher.

In fact, the CPI stood at

7.9% in Germany in May

, according to advance data also this Monday in that country, while in France it rose 4.8% in April and in Italy, 6.2%. .

The data for May of the latter will be known this Tuesday when Eurostat publishes its advance for the month.

Breakfast ,

in

any case,

is just one example

.

The prices of almost any component of the shopping basket rise more strongly in Spain than in the rest of the comparable countries of the European Union.

Greater contagion to other goods in Spain

While in the rest of the countries the greatest increases are concentrated in

energy products

, in

Spain

there are more and more different goods and services with strong increases.

Here, edible

oils

other than olive (sunflower, palm, coconut, etc.) rise 96.2%;

hotels

, 50.5

%;

and

olive oil

, 42.5%, the three being among the products with the highest increases.

In

Germany

, the price increases are led by

liquefied hydrocarbons

(butane, propane...) with a rise of 123.1%;

liquid

fuels,

77.4% and

diesel

, 51.9%;

the same thing happens

in

France - liquid

fuels

rise 80.8%;

natural

gas

, 54.5%, and

diesel

, 34.3%-, and in

Italy

the increases are led by

European flights

(91%) and

international flights

(79.8%) -whose main cost is the fuel- and

electricity

(68.5%).

Electricity

in Spain

rose by

34.9%

in April , moderating mainly due to the

base effect

, since in April 2021 it already registered increases;

liquid fuels for heating became more expensive by 95.7%;

and butane and propane, 33.4%.

The Government has not yet managed to approve the

cap on the price of gas

, which will have a downward impact on the price of electricity, with which a general drop in the energy bill has not yet been seen that could deflate the increases a little.

With regard to

diesel and gasoline

, which are respectively 32.1% and 16.3% more expensive in Spain in April,

the increases are lower

than those that have occurred

in the rest of the European countries

due in part to the

bonus

of 20 cents per liter decreed by the Government and which entered into force on April 1.

This moderation in the rise in prices has occurred despite the fact that according to some economists such as

Juan Luis Jiménez

, doctor in Economics and professor at the University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria,

the fuel discount has been

largely absorbed

by the producers

, with which the expected relief in the pockets of the drivers has not been noticed.

"The results are clear: the average prices in Spain increased after the policy by, approximately and on average, 5 cents. Specifically, gasoline 95 increased 2.7 cents before taxes and 3.7 after taxes; and diesel even more, reaching 4.1 and 6 euro cents before and after taxes, respectively (...)

A part of the subsidy is not reflected in lower prices for consumers

, who should pay 20 cents less, and not 15 as it is really happening", he denounces while emphasizing "the

ineffectiveness of the measure

".

The presumed ineffectiveness of the measure could have influenced the evolution of the CPI, since although some experts such as the

Funcas

economists expected it

to moderate up to 7.6%

, it has finally surprised on the upside with a rise of more than one point higher .

Additional measures to contain the CPI

The Government and the central banks maintain, however, the message that inflation is "exceptional" and will go down.

"

We are in an exceptional moment

caused by the exit of the pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine and it is affecting the Spanish economy and all the economies of the world. There are problems with the price of food (...) but

there are many circumstances

that are foreign to us

that we are trying to repair

", said this Monday the Minister of Agriculture,

Luis Planas

, in statements collected by Efe.

"We continue to work on

measures to curb prices,

especially energy prices and raw materials, which is where the problem lies," pointed out his counterpart from Industry, Commerce and Tourism,

Reyes Maroto,

who has assured that the Executive will extend the measures approved to try to contain inflation.

However, whether or not inflation will go down will largely depend on whether these messages sink in and give companies and consumers confidence, that is,

on the expectations generated around prices.

Meanwhile, and given the evolution of the data,

Ángel Gavilán

, Director General of Economy and Statistics of the

Bank of Spain

, warned that the institution

will revise its inflation forecast upwards

and its growth estimate downwards.

In their latest projections, presented in April, they predicted that

inflation would close the year on average at 7.5%

, a figure surpassed by the increase in the CPI accumulated to date, of

8.1% so far this year.

The director of Economy of the supervisor has taken advantage of his intervention in an act in Seville to recognize that today's data has surprised them and to

demand an income pact between unions and businessmen

that "avoids an inflationary spiral" since there are "some policies to fight against inflation that escape the margin of governments".

Conforms to The Trust Project criteria

Know more

  • Germany

  • France

  • Italy

  • INE

  • Kings Maroto

  • louis planes

  • European Union

  • Inflation

  • Graphics