20 days 56 cities to relax the property market! The trillion-dollar capital city policy was stopped, the reason →

　　Zhongxin Finance, May 21 (Zuo Yukun) On May 20, "Yangma" sent "full love" to people who bought a house with a loan: the five-year LPR (loan market quotation rate) ushered in the largest in history. Decrease, down 15 basis points to 4.45%.

　　Not only that, in recent days, the relaxation of the property market regulation policy in many places can be said to show a blowout trend, and the policy of stabilizing the property market around lowering the threshold for home buyers to enter the market is becoming more and more intense.

　　Statistics from the Central Plains Real Estate Research Institute show that as of May 20, more than 56 cities have issued more than 60 policies to stabilize the property market in the month, and the number of real estate regulation policies throughout the year has reached 290, continuing to refresh the historical record for the same period.

Real estate under construction.

Photo by China News Agency reporter Zhang Bin

Mortgage interest rate cut, many places quickly lowered the first home interest rate

　　On May 20, according to the data released by the National Interbank Funding Center authorized by the People's Bank of China, the one-year LPR was 3.7%, the same as the previous month; the five-year LPR was 4.45%, down 15 basis points from the previous month.

Since the reform of the LPR quotation formation mechanism, the one-year LPR has not dropped, and it is the first time that the five-year LPR has been lowered alone.

　　Focusing on the background that the current real estate market demand is clearly showing signs of shrinking, as the pricing benchmark for mortgage interest rates, the unexpected reduction of the five-year LPR is regarded by many as a directional support for real estate.

　　Prior to this, on May 15, the central bank and the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission jointly issued a document requesting that "the lower limit of the interest rate of the first residential commercial personal housing loan should be adjusted to not lower than the market quoted interest rate of the corresponding term loan minus 20 basis points."

The superposition of the two policies means that the lower limit of the first home interest rate has dropped to 4.25%.

　　On the 19th, a report released by the E-House Research Institute Think Tank Center pointed out that the minimum interest rate for the first home in 20 cities including Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Tianjin, Jinan, Qingdao, Zhengzhou, Suzhou, and Kunming has been reduced to the minimum 4.4%.

　　After the release of the "Rate Cut Package" on the 20th, banks in some regions acted quickly or made statements. According to media reports, some banks in Tianjin, Nantong, Suzhou, Qingdao, Jinan, Chongqing and other places have set the lowest interest rate for first-time home loans. down to 4.25%.

　　It is generally believed in the industry that in the future, more cities will reduce mortgage interest rates to the minimum requirements to promote the release of housing demand, and the market in hot cities is expected to gradually stabilize and recover.

Data map: tall buildings.

Photo by China News Agency reporter Chen Chao

Relaxation of purchase restrictions, activation of second-hand housing

　　Among the recently released policies to stabilize the property market, Nanjing's "cancellation of second-hand housing purchase restrictions" on the 20th attracted particular attention.

The second-hand housing relaxation policy released by this new first-tier city with a GDP of 1.6 trillion in 2021 has become a typical representative of the current relaxation of second-hand housing purchase restrictions.

　　However, just about two hours after the "official announcement" of the new policy, the WeChat public account of the Nanjing Housing Association, which published the article, deleted the article.

Nanjing's cancellation of the "half-day tour" policy of restricting the purchase of second-hand houses is also considered to be a manifestation of the red line of "housing and not speculating".

According to the Yangtze Evening News, a person familiar with the matter said that it may be that many policy adjustments involved in the article need to be revised and improved.

　　"Nanjing's cancellation of the purchase restriction on second-hand housing is intended to drive the recovery of the new housing market through active second-hand housing transactions, but it may trigger the phenomenon of investment speculation, which is contrary to the state's requirement of 'housing to live without speculation'." Guangdong Province Housing Policy Research Li Yujia, a senior researcher at the center, believes that hotspot cities have already entered the era of stock housing, and there is no need to build so many new houses. The local government's approach is also contrary to the state's requirement of "not using real estate as a short-term means of stimulating the economy".

　　However, in more cities, the activation of second-hand housing transactions has become the focus of current policy regulation and control, and the energy level of cities that issue relevant policies continues to rise.

　　On the evening of May 20, Dalian issued a new policy, which mainly stated that "the number of housing units in non-restricted areas will not be included in the total number of units" and "resident families who purchase second-hand housing in restricted areas are no longer subject to the total number of existing housing units."

　　Earlier, on May 9, Suzhou relaxed the purchase restriction policy, and the accumulated 24 months of social security for non-Suzhou households within three years was changed to 6 consecutive months of social security, and real estate in non-restricted areas was no longer included in the number of household purchase restrictions.

　　Changsha also introduced a new policy on May 6. Families in the restricted area can buy a second set of commercial housing after 4 years after the first set of commercial housing was signed online or obtained the real estate ownership certificate.

　　Another hot city, Hangzhou, the new policy stipulates that the social security requirements for second-hand housing purchases within the scope of purchase restrictions will be cancelled within 5 years of settlement, and non-resident households in the city can purchase houses after paying social security or personal tax for 12 consecutive months, lowering the threshold for second-hand housing purchase restrictions.

　　At present, the relaxation policies around the restrictions on the purchase of second-hand houses have been introduced repeatedly, which reflects the weak transaction in the second-hand house market.

According to data from the Shell Research Institute, the number of second-hand housing transactions in Shell 50 cities in April fell by more than 20% month-on-month.

The market is looking forward to the relaxation of the second-hand housing policy and the environment of falling interest rates, which can greatly relieve the pressure on the second-hand housing market and increase market liquidity.

Data map: real estate.

Photo by Gao Ruifeng

Provident fund policy remains the focus

　　"From the perspective of the policy content, the direction of relaxation continues to be the provident fund. Nearly 20 cities have increased the loan amount of the provident fund and reduced the amount of the down payment." Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Centaline Real Estate, pointed out.

　　In terms of increasing the loan amount, on the evening of the 20th, Tianjin Housing Provident Fund Management Center issued the "Notice on Adjusting the Relevant Policies of Housing Provident Fund", which clarified that the maximum loan amount for employees who have deposited in Tianjin to apply for a personal housing provident fund loan to purchase a family's first house From 600,000 yuan to 800,000 yuan.

　　The website of Nanjing Housing Provident Fund Management Center released on the 19th the "Notice on Adjusting the Loan Amount of Using Housing Provident Fund to Buy a Second Set of Housing Provident Funds for the First Time". RMB/person, 600,000 yuan/household for both husband and wife, adjusted to 500,000 yuan/person and 1 million yuan/household for both husband and wife.

　　In terms of reducing the amount of down payment, Jiangsu Suqian stipulates in the "Several Policies and Measures for Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of Real Estate in Central Urban Areas" that if applying for a housing provident fund loan to buy a house, the down payment ratio is 20%.

　　The "Several Measures for Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market" issued by Anhui Suzhou Housing Management Center on the 17th mentioned that the down payment ratio of the second application for self-occupied housing provident fund loans was reduced from 40% to 30%.

　　In addition, in terms of provident funds, Zhangzhou, Fujian proposed that the provident fund can be directly used to pay the down payment for the purchase of a house; Yantai, Shandong canceled the household registration restriction of housing provident fund loans in different places; Shenyang proposed that in some cases, the normal repayment of provident fund loans is not considered overdue.

　　Looking at the property market regulation policy, it can be found that under the keynote of "housing, not speculating," the property market regulation in various places adheres to the principle of "policies tailored to the city", and continuously increases regulation to release reasonable housing demand.

　　"What is certain is that the favorable effect of the central level on the property market is gradually emerging." Zhang Bobiao, president of the 58 Anju Room Real Estate Research Institute, believes that the follow-up of local regulation also needs to be accelerated and effective due to the city's policies. In the first half of this year, the property market Ushering in a full recovery is worth looking forward to.

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