This year, GDP = gross domestic product from January to March will be announced on the 18th.

According to private sector forecasts, personal consumption such as eating out will decline due to the effect of priority measures such as spread prevention being applied to various places during this period, and the growth rate is expected to be negative for the first time in two quarters.

Regarding GDP from January to March, which will be announced on the 18th, the forecasts of 15 companies including private think tanks have been finalized.



According to this, each company expects a negative growth rate for the first time in two quarters, excluding price fluctuations, and the negative range is 0.2% to 6.4% on an annualized basis.



With the spread of Omicron strains, priority measures such as prevention of spread have been applied to various places, and it seems that "personal consumption", which accounts for more than half of GDP, has fallen mainly in eating out and traveling.



In addition, automobiles were forced to reduce production due to the shutdown of factories, which was affected by the lack of sales, and it seems that the rise in gasoline prices also pushed down consumption.



On the other hand, “corporate capital investment” is said to have been strong in IT-related investment, and 12 out of 15 companies are expected to increase.



This time, the GDP for the last year will also be announced.



It will also be interesting to see how much it will improve from the previous year, which was the largest decline since 1981, which is comparable to minus 4.5% due to the influence of the new corona.