GDP = gross domestic product from October to December last year will be announced on the 15th.
Since the infection status of the new corona was relatively calm during this period, the average private forecast is that the real growth rate excluding price fluctuations is + 6% on an annualized basis.
The GDP from October to December last year will be announced by the Cabinet Office as a preliminary figure at 8:50 am on the 15th.
The average forecast of 35 private economists compiled by the Japan Center for Economic Research, a public interest corporation, shows that the real growth rate excluding price fluctuations is + 6.06% on an annualized basis.
If it actually becomes a plus, it will be the first time in two terms.
This is because the infection status of the new coronavirus has been relatively calm during this period, and we believe that "personal consumption," which accounts for more than half of GDP, has picked up.
The average forecasts for each item are "Personal consumption" + 2.22%, "Corporate capital investment" + 0.95%, and "Export" + 0.38%, compared to the previous three months. ..
In addition, the average GDP forecast for the last year, which will be announced together, will be + 1.67% in real terms, and the results will be noteworthy.