China News Service, Beijing, December 30 (Reporter Wang Enbo) The "Population and Labor Green Paper: A Report on China's Population and Labor Issues" jointly released by the Institute of Population and Labor Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and the Social Science Literature Press in Beijing on the 30th "No. 22" predicts that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China will see a "turning point" where urbanization will move from a high speed to a gradual slowdown. After 2035, it will enter a relatively stable stage of development. The peak rate of China's urbanization rate is likely to appear at 75%. To 80%.

  According to the results of the seventh national census conducted in 2020, the population of China living in cities and towns is 900.99 million, accounting for 63.89%.

The above report pointed out that the urbanization rate of developed countries in the world has exceeded 80%, and it is tending to be stable.

This means that, as a developing country that is about to enter the ranks of high-income countries, the level of urbanization in China will further increase.

  According to the report, the average annual increase in the permanent population of urban residents in China since 1978 can be divided into three stages: before 1995, the increase was around 10 million, which was a stage of rapid urbanization; after 1995, the increase jumped to more than 20 million. Since then, it has been maintained at an annual increase of more than 20 million for more than 20 years, which is the stage of rapid urbanization; after 2020, the average annual increase of urban permanent residents will gradually decline.

  The report predicts that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's urbanization rate will increase by an average of 1.03 percentage points per year, which is lower than that during the "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan" period.

Although the pace of urbanization is slowing down, about 160 million rural people will be transferred to cities and towns by 2035, which will have a significant impact on the distribution pattern of urban population. It is necessary to plan the layout and supply of industries, infrastructure and public services.

  The report believes that with the improvement of urban construction and residents' income levels, the floating population pays more and more attention to the level of urban public services, and education, medical care and housing are playing an increasingly important role in attracting and retaining the floating population.

The "14th Five-Year Plan" is a critical period for the improvement of quality and efficiency of China's urbanization construction. Urban development will realize the transformation from the demand for functional services to the demand for quality.

  In order to promote the sharing of urban development results, the report suggests that a new human-centered evaluation index system for urbanization quality should be established, and urban public services actually enjoyed by the permanent population, especially the floating population, should be used as an important criterion for evaluating the quality of urbanization. "Public service coverage rate" is used as the key core indicator of the existing urbanization evaluation.

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