Regarding the Bank of Japan's Tankan = Corporate Short-term Economic Observation Survey announced on December 13, private-sector forecasts have improved economic judgments in the non-manufacturing industry of large corporations, which have been picking up since the emergency declaration was lifted. Is expected.

The Bank of Japan's short view is a survey that asks nearly 10,000 companies in Japan about the current state of the economy every three months, and 11 companies including private think tanks have compiled their forecasts before the announcement on December 13.



According to this, the forecast of the index showing the economic judgment of large companies and manufacturing industries is from +16 points to +20 points, and the median forecast is +19 points, which is an improvement of 1 point from the previous September survey. ..



Although the shortage of semiconductors and the stagnation of parts supply in Southeast Asia have eased and automobile production is recovering, 6 out of 11 companies predict a slight improvement and 5 companies predict a slight deterioration.



On the other hand, the forecast for the non-manufacturing industry of large companies is from +4 points to +8 points, and the median forecast is +6 points, an improvement of 4 points from the previous survey.



Since the state of emergency was lifted, all 11 companies are expected to improve as the movement to pick up food and drink and accommodation has increased.



However, there are many cautious views about the future that it may lead to restraint of economic activity depending on the infection situation of Omicron strain.