He said that "during the week, investors will pay attention to the statistics that are significant for the market, on Tuesday there will be data on consumer inflation in China."
Goikhman explained that they "characterize the economic recovery of the Celestial Empire and, accordingly, in many respects the world's need for resources."
Also, as the analyst notes, on the same day, OPEC will present a monthly report with an analysis of the state of the oil market, supply and demand for it, on Wednesday there will be data on oil reserves and inflation in the United States, a statement by the European Central Bank on monetary policy and retail sales in The US will be unveiled on Thursday.
According to him, "in general, the coming weeks of May are likely to remain moderately optimistic for the ruble, geopolitical tensions and the threat of strong anti-Russian sanctions have decreased."
Goykhman said that "in the near future, a discussion of the time and program of the meeting between Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin will take a prominent place."
“This itself, in contrast to the recent sharp attacks, is a positive for the ruble,” he said.
Also, according to the analyst, "mass vaccination in the world and in Russia, a decrease in the severity of the pandemic cause an increase in business activity, this raises both the demand for resources and optimism about risky assets."
He recalled that "last week, the Ministry of Finance announced a reduction from May 11 to June 4, daily purchases of foreign currency according to the budgetary rule, they will decrease to 6.5 billion rubles after the April 2021 record volume of 8.4 billion."
“The dollar is under pressure on the world market as well.
Against the backdrop of economic optimism, it is in less demand as a safe haven asset.
For the future, discouraging US employment data, released on Friday, May 7, will also contribute to this.
In the non-agricultural sector, the increase in the number of employed in April was three times less than predicted.
This reduces confidence in economic growth in the United States and predetermines the continuation of huge "injections" of dollars into the country's economy, "Goikhman said.
According to him, "this state of affairs is supported by the ruble, but at the same time, its strengthening in May to the lows of the year already largely takes into account these factors, so the potential for further strengthening is limited."
“Probably, within a month the dollar will not go below 72-72.5 rubles, and the euro - 88.2-88.7 rubles.
Possible highs: 75.5-76 rubles per dollar and 91-91.5 rubles per euro, ”he said.
According to the analyst, "much more favorable conditions would be needed for a more successful position of the ruble."
He said that these conditions include: “a radical change in relations with the West from elements of confrontation to broad cooperation, a complete rejection of the threat of sanctions, an economic boom in the world and Russia with a steady growth rate of 5-6% per year, respectively, an increase oil prices even from the current rather high $ 68-70 to the level of $ 80-86 per barrel of Brent, a change in the investment and production climate in the country, making it more attractive for domestic and foreign investments. "
Goikhman noted that "under the hypothetical onset of such conditions, the ruble would be able to strengthen to 50-55 rubles against the dollar."
At the same time, he added that "in reality, the likelihood of such a development of events in the foreseeable future is about 20-25%."
Earlier, Lazar Badalov, Associate Professor of the Department of World Economy and World Finance of the Financial University under the Government of Russia, in an interview with the FBA "Economics Today" commented on plans to create a digital ruble.