GDP = gross domestic product from October to December last year, announced on the 15th, showed an annualized growth rate of 12.7%, a double-digit increase for the second consecutive quarter.


However, there are concerns that it will turn negative again from January to March, and the key to the recovery of the real economy is whether vaccination starting on the 17th can be carried out smoothly. It will be.

GDP from October to December last year, announced on the 15th, showed double-digit positive growth for the second consecutive quarter, with the real growth rate excluding price fluctuations at 12.7% on an annualized basis.



As a result, the scale of GDP for the last year was over 529 trillion yen.



This is about 26 trillion yen lower than the adult 555 trillion yen before the spread of the new coronavirus.



While the economy is recovering, a state of emergency has been declared since the beginning of this year, and personal consumption is declining mainly for travel and eating out.



For this reason, private economists have harshly said that the growth rate of GDP from January to March will turn negative for the first time in three quarters, and will change from -3% to -11% on an annualized basis. I am.



The government expects the economic growth rate for the new year to be around + 4%, and plans to return the scale of GDP to the pre-Corona level by the beginning of next year.



Convergence of infection is indispensable for the real economy to recover in earnest, and the key is whether vaccination can be smoothly carried out starting on the 17th.