(Economic Observer) Chief Watch 2021: What new changes will China's economy welcome?

　　China News Service, Beijing, January 1 (Reporter Xia Bin) Saying goodbye to 2020 and embracing 2021, what new changes will China's economy usher in in the new year?

A reporter from China News Agency interviewed a number of chief experts and painted a new blueprint for China's economy in their eyes.

　　The macroeconomic operation will continue to shine.

　　Eric Boglov, chief economist of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, said bluntly that the data has proved that China will be the only major economy in the world with positive growth in 2020. This shows that China has certain national capabilities. The Chinese economy will have very strong prospects.

　　"In 2021, China's economy will continue the recovery trend since the second half of 2020. It will grow strongly in the first half of this year and gradually return to normal in the second half of the year. It will perform in the world's major economies throughout the year and is expected to continue to outperform." Chief Economics of Centaline Bank Scholar Wang Jun said that in the new year, China's economy still has hope and potential to maintain stable and rapid development, achieve various expected goals, and usher in a very beautiful start during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period.

　　Wu Qing, chief economist of China Orient Asset Management Co., Ltd., also holds a similar view.

He believes that the supply-side structural reform of the Chinese economy will continue to advance, the efficiency and competitiveness of the Chinese economy will be improved, and the structural transformation and upgrading of the Chinese economy will be further promoted. In 2021, the Chinese economy will have a high probability of achieving an annual growth rate of more than 7%. .

　　There will be new tasks and new changes in various fields.

　　In the field of trade, Zhang Wei, chief expert of the China Association for Trade in Services, believes that next year China’s trade is expected to grow by more than 8%, whether it is imports or exports. What’s more important is that there is more work to be done in service trade. The proportion of trade in services has increased. At present, the proportion of trade in services in China is only 14%. We will strive to break through 20% next year.

　　In the real estate field, Li Yujia, the chief researcher of the Guangdong Housing Policy Research Center, said that the new tasks of the real estate industry are of great significance to the overall economic work. This year, real estate is not about stimulating commercial housing sales, but about housing security. The focus of the policy is people without houses. For new citizens, only when the housing problem of these people is solved, can the entire housing consumption and housing support for the economy return to a healthy track.

　　Speaking of anti-monopoly and preventing the disorderly expansion of capital, Zong Liang, the chief researcher of the Bank of China, believes that it is necessary to break the monopoly and protect fair competition, so that every business can be supervised in place, while protecting consumers or small investments. However, it should also be emphasized that strict supervision is not to "kill" an enterprise, but to enable the enterprise to achieve better development.

"We look forward to strengthening supervision while maintaining the stable and healthy development of innovation, and creating a good environment for the development of national financial technology."

　　"Of course, China's economy will also face many challenges and uncertainties next year." Wang Jun said that the foundation for China's economic recovery is not yet solid, and it is necessary to continuously improve the cross-cycle design and adjustment of macro-control to achieve a long-term balance of stable growth and risk prevention. .

　　He further stated that it is necessary to be more precise and effective in policy operations, not to make a sharp turn, and to grasp the timeliness and effectiveness of policies. In order to support and cooperate with the accelerated formation of the new "dual cycle" development pattern, the production, distribution, circulation, and In the four links of consumption, more attention should be paid to the shortcomings of distribution and consumption.

　　Zhang Yansheng, chief researcher of the China International Economic Exchange Center, reminded that China will have three tough battles starting in 2021. The first is the reform of the market-based allocation of factors, allowing the market to play a decisive role in the allocation of resources, the second is the reform of optimizing the business environment, and the third It is the reform of the technological innovation system and environment.

"Therefore, 2021 is a crucial year for us to start well and start well." (End)