Sino-Singapore Jingwei Client, September 5 (Zhang Meng) In August, real estate financing and land acquisition reached a record high, and the transaction of new houses in 40 cities increased by 16% year-on-year.

Experts predict that the top ten probabilities of gold, nine and silver will appear.

August 40 city new house transactions increase 16% year-on-year

  E-House Real Estate Research Institute released the "Report on the Transaction of New Commercial Residential Buildings in 40 Cities across the Country in August 2020" on September 4.

The report shows that in August, the transaction of new houses in 40 cities increased by 16% year-on-year, which has been a positive growth for 4 consecutive months.

Shen Xin, a researcher at E-House Research Institute, said that the real estate market has completely escaped the impact of the epidemic and is on the right track.

  According to the analysis of the Zhongzhi Research Institute, August was the traditional off-season of the property market in the past, and the scale of market supply and demand was at a low level. However, under the influence of various factors in August this year, real estate companies actively launched the market to seize the payment, and the demand for release was also high. The off-season effect was significantly weakened.

  Source: E-House Real Estate Research Institute

  In addition, from January to August 2020, the transaction volume of newly built commercial housing in 18 cities including Lanzhou, Jinhua, Hangzhou, Shaoguan and Xiamen among the 40 cities has increased year-on-year, which is a further increase compared to the 12 in July, indicating the sales of new houses in 40 cities Keep getting better.

  Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Centaline Real Estate, believes that the economies of all regions are recovering rapidly. For the real estate market, the average recovery level from July to August has exceeded 100% of the same period last year, and many places have exceeded the previous level.

  Data map: The sales office sand table.

Photo by Sino-Singapore Jingwei

Real estate financing and land acquisition in August reached a new high

  Statistics from Centaline Real Estate Research Center show that in August, domestic bond financing of real estate companies exceeded 65.9 billion yuan in a single month, an increase of 5.1% year-on-year.

As of August 31, 50 large and medium-sized cities had annual land sales revenue of more than 2.66 trillion yuan, an increase of 19.7% over the same period in 2019. Among them, 14 cities had land sales revenue of more than 10 billion yuan in a single month in August. The highest in Shanghai reached 37.9 billion yuan.

  Yan Yuejin, research director of the Think Tank Center of E-House Research Institute, said that reasonable financing for real estate companies is necessary.

Affected by the epidemic this year, the capital chain of real estate companies has been impacted, and financing can be “transfused” to real estate companies in time.

In addition, real estate companies are actively acquiring land, indicating that they are more optimistic about the future market.

  Wang Xiaoqian, an analyst at the Zhuge Housing Data Research Center, told the Sino-Singapore Jingwei client that in August, the acquisition of land for financing reached a new high. On the one hand, the current financing cost and difficulty are both at a relatively low level, and on the other hand, there have been frequent reports of future real estate companies. Financing is about to be tightened. In August, the Housing Construction Committee interviewed real estate companies and also mentioned that the supervision of real estate financing will be strengthened.

Therefore, real estate companies seized the opportunity before the policy to actively finance and acquire land.

Many places restrict false divorce to cool the property market

  In the second half of the year, according to incomplete statistics, there have been more than ten real estate market controls in Hangzhou, Dongguan, Ningbo, Inner Mongolia, Zhengzhou, Shenzhen, Nanjing, Changchun, Haikou, Wuxi, and Fuyang.

Among them, many places "patched" policy loopholes to curb false divorces.

  On September 4, Hangzhou made it clear that buyers who have been divorced and single for three years and have not owned their own houses within the city's purchase restrictions for three years can be identified as families without houses.

  On August 30, Wuxi increased the restriction on the number of housing units purchased by divorced families, stipulating that if a couple purchase commercial housing within 2 years after the divorce, the number of housing units owned by the couple shall be calculated based on the number of housing units owned by the family before the divorce within the urban area of ​​Wuxi City.

While satisfying reasonable housing needs, prevent obtaining housing qualifications through "false divorce" methods.

  On July 23, Nanjing stipulated that if a couple is divorced, if either party purchases commercial housing within 2 years from the date of divorce, the number of housing units owned by the couple shall be calculated based on the total number of units in the family before the divorce.

  Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Centaline Property, pointed out that cracking down on fake divorces has become a feature of recent policies. Most of the recent tightening policies in 10 cities are aimed at increasing control of fake divorces, fake settlements, and fake talents who purchase multiple apartments.

It is expected that at least more than 30 cities in the future will release policies with different real estate tightening efforts in the near future.

  Wang Xiaoqiang pointed out that in recent years, with the tightening of purchase restrictions, many families have used false divorce to obtain housing purchase qualifications, thereby reducing the cost of housing purchases and restricting false divorces, which can curb the use of false divorces to speculate real estate and protect rigid needs. And the rights and interests of families without housing are conducive to the implementation of "housing and not speculating."

Expert: Ten Probabilities of Gold, Nine and Silver will appear

  Wang Xiaoqian told the Sino-Singapore Jingwei client that Golden Nine and Silver Ten is the traditional peak sales season. From the perspective of real estate companies, most of the real estate companies only completed 40% of the plan in the first half of this year. In the second half of this year, companies will accelerate the withdrawal of funds. During the tenth period, there will be price cuts and promotions; from the perspective of home buyers, this year’s epidemic has catalyzed home buyers’ demand for home purchases, and they have a deeper understanding of housing property rights. If the price cuts are large and the promotional methods will attract attention, home buyers will Will actively enter the market.

It is expected that this year's top ten probabilities will appear.

  Shen Xin said that it is expected that some real estate companies in Jinjiuyin-10 will exchange price for quantity to promote payment.

For some real estate companies with high financial pressure and poor completion of their annual targets, in addition to slowing down the land acquisition plan to control liabilities, it will be very important to exchange price for volume during the Golden, 9th and Silver 10 period, especially in some housing markets this year. A colder city.

  Yan Yuejin believes that gold nine and silver ten will still appear. As long as the housing prices do not overheat, various localities will launch promotional policies to encourage real estate transactions. The gold nine and silver ten are in line with the needs of some current buyers.

(Zhongxin Jingwei APP)

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