Is the third increase coming this year? The domestic oil price is likely to rise, and it will cost 2.5 yuan to fill a box
Sino-Singapore Jingwei Client, August 21 (Zhang Shunan) At 24:00 on the 21st, the domestic refined oil price adjustment window will open again. Institutions generally predict that due to the volatility of international crude oil prices, this round of domestic oil prices will likely rise.
New longitude and latitude Zhang Shunan in the data map
Since the beginning of this year, international oil prices have experienced a huge drop. With the reduction of production in oil-producing countries and the restart of the economies of many countries, crude oil prices have fallen first and then risen, and have basically recovered their "lost ground."
Zhuo Chuang Information analyst Zheng Mingya said that during this pricing cycle, the International Energy Agency (IEA) and OPEC have successively lowered their oil demand forecasts for this year, and OPEC and its production reduction alliance have increased the supply of crude oil. These factors have led to lower crude oil prices. However, OPEC + 95% production cut implementation rate and other factors supported crude oil prices.
As of the early morning of August 20, Beijing time, the price of light crude oil futures for September delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange closed up $0.04 to $42.93 per barrel, an increase of 0.09%. London Brent crude oil futures for delivery in October fell 0.09 US dollars to close at 45.37 US dollars per barrel, a 0.2% drop.
According to calculations by Zhongyu Information, the rate of change of crude oil on the 9th working day of this round is 2.16%, which corresponds to an increase of 60 yuan/ton, equivalent to an increase of 92# and 0# about 0.05 yuan/liter. If this adjustment is made, the private car owner will spend 2.5 yuan more on filling a box (50 liters) of 92# gasoline.
Sino-Singapore Jingwei Client noticed that since this year, domestic refined oil prices have undergone 15 adjustments, including 10 strandings, 3 downward adjustments, and 2 upward adjustments. The prices of gasoline and diesel have been reduced by 1,630 yuan/ton and 1,570 yuan/ton respectively. . The six rounds of adjustments from March 31 to June 11 were all stranded because the crude oil price in the international market was below $40 per barrel.
The next round of price adjustment window will be opened at 24:00 on September 4, 2020. Li Yan, an oil analyst at Longzhong Information, told the Sino-Singapore Jingwei client that the recent upward momentum of international crude oil prices is not strong, and it is still necessary to beware of overseas epidemics Wait for the potential negative impact, it is expected that the next round of refined oil price adjustments will have a greater probability.
Wang Tao, an analyst at Zhongyu Information, believes that the next round of oil price adjustments may still be stranded. The current international political and economic factors continue to strengthen, and there are no signs of positive signs of overseas epidemics, and crude oil does not have sufficient momentum to complete a continuous upward movement. (Zhongxin Jingwei APP)
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