China News Service Client Beijing, July 9th (Peng Jingru) "Shenzhen will leave the property market New Deal!" This news has recently been confirmed as a rumor.
However, there is no wind or waves. Just after entering the second half of 2020, cities such as Hangzhou, Dongguan, and Ningbo began to introduce restrictive real estate regulation and control policies. Therefore, the news of the Shenzhen property market's regulatory policy has been rumors.
Shenzhen upgrade real estate regulation? fake!
The regulation rules issued by the Shenzhen real estate circle are discreet.
Some intermediaries said that the regulation includes: Shenzhen will improve the qualifications for buying a house, and must also pay a certain period of social security (2 years or 5 years) before holding a Shenzhen account to buy a house; second-hand housing transaction taxes will be raised; non-Shenzhen account buyers When purchasing a business apartment, a certain period of social security is required.
"If rumors of tightening policies appear, it will make home buyers accelerate to enter the market, because everyone is worried about the increase in the uncertainty of buying a house." Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of E-House Research Institute, said to Xinxin that Shenzhen actually does not regulate or not. In the future, it is necessary to establish a long-term mechanism, including actively increasing the supply of housing.
Data Map: Shenzhen Land Real Estate Trading Building. Photo by Zheng Xiaohong
However, the news of the tightening of the Shenzhen property market was quickly clarified.
Shenzhen Real Estate Intermediary Association issued a notice on the 7th that according to the Shenzhen Real Estate Intermediary Association weekly report data, last week’s untrue rumors about the imminent introduction of a new real estate regulation and control policy in Shenzhen were spread consciously, irresponsibly urging the urgent atmosphere of property market transactions, Misleading short-term second-hand housing weekly net sign data rose 40.7% month-on-month.
At the same time, Shenzhen Real Estate Intermediary Association also reminded: In the first half of the year, there were a small number of real estate speculators in the real estate market, and consciously used online public opinion to create an atmosphere for the property market to catch up. Consumers should understand the real estate market objectively, rationally, and comprehensively, and do not believe unofficial rumors.
According to the latest data released by the Shenzhen Real Estate Agents Association, 3893 sets of second-hand housing nets were signed in Shenzhen last week, continuing the upward trend for four consecutive weeks. The number of first-hand houses and second-hand houses completed in Shenzhen last week was 827 and 2310, respectively, up 37% and 7% sequentially.
Zhang Hongwei, Chief Analyst of Tongce Group, said that Shenzhen's real estate market is performing well and there is a reason for the relatively high degree of marketization. After the outbreak, it opened earlier and the market recovered quickly. On the other hand, the resident population in Shenzhen comes in a lot every year and there is a demand for house purchase.
It is true that the property markets in Ningbo, Hangzhou, and Dongguan remember the "tight spell"
Although there is no "real hammer" in the new property market policy in Shenzhen, many places have begun to tighten their property market policies.
On the evening of July 6th, Ningbo City released the "Ten Articles" New Deal to stabilize the property market. The core content includes expanding the scope of purchase restrictions and strengthening the review of housing loans.
"Ningbo's policies reflect the overheating phenomenon of housing prices and land prices in some cities in the first half of the year." Yan Yuejin said that in the first half of the year, there were real estate speculations in Ningbo, Hangzhou, Dongguan, Shenzhen and other places, which shows that although the national market is cooling down As a characteristic, but some eastern coastal cities still have the phenomenon that the property market is heating up too fast.
Data Map: A residential building in Hangzhou. Photo by Guo Qiyu
Before Ningbo, Hangzhou and Dongguan have issued policies to tighten the control of the property market. On July 2, the Hangzhou Municipal Housing Security and Real Estate Administration issued the "Notice on Further Clarifying the Relevant Requirements for the Public Sale of Commercial Housing Notarization Numbers" to support self-occupation demand and curb speculation in real estate.
Specific measures include that housing acquired through the preferential purchase of homes by high-level talent families shall not be listed for trading within 5 years from the date of the signing of the commercial housing contract network; real estate development companies notarize the public sale of newly built commercial housing and deal with "houses without houses" Give a tilt to provide a certain percentage of housing protection; the average housing price of 35,000 yuan / square meter or less for new commercial housing projects for "household-free" housing protection ratio is generally not less than 50%.
On the same day (July 2), the Bureau of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of Dongguan issued the "Notice on Further Strengthening the Administration of Pre-sale (Commercial) Sales of Commercial Housing", which called for the acceleration of the sales of commercial housing under construction, the strengthening of sales price guidance for commercial housing, and strengthening Commercial housing project sales supervision, intensified efforts to crack down on the behavior of covering the plate.
"Gun hits the head bird", will housing prices cool in these places ?
"Restrictions on the purchase of talents in Hangzhou and upgrades in Ningbo's purchase restriction policies further illustrate that some cities will not only loosen their housing purchase policies, but will further increase them." Yan Yuejin believes that all of them indicate that the current policy control is still based on "As a premise. In the event of various speculations, policy escalation and tightening are high probability events.
However, with regard to the future trend of the property market policy, Yan Yuejin believes that the regulation of the property market is tailored to local conditions, and many places are still oriented towards relaxation, and not all are tightened.
"The general trend of property market regulation is mainly relaxation, but some cities where housing prices are rising too fast are still easy to control." Yan Yuejin said that housing prices may rebound due to rising market transactions in the second half of the year. phenomenon.
Information figure: A real estate project attracts many buyers to come to "Amoy Housing". China News Agency issued photo by Yanyan Jun
Zhang Hongwei believes that the property market will be in a stable state in the future, and will maintain a directional loosening trend in the second half of the year.
"If the real estate regulation in the first half of the year is dominated by loose stimulus, various talent policies, settlement policies, and one-day tour loosening policies. Since July, the rise in housing prices in some cities has obviously begun to tighten." Chief Analysis of Zhongyuan Real Estate According to Zhang Dawei, so far, the tightening policies represented by Dongguan and Hangzhou have only been tickling the property market, and the effect is expected to be limited, because they are only adjusted for the number-shaking and price-limiting policies, and have not affected the market's purchase leverage.
"The credit leverage policy is the most central policy. Leverage does not move. Under the general environment of credit release, the property market will continue to maintain a high level of operation." Zhang Dawei said. (Finish)