China News Service Client Beijing, June 16 (Reporter Li Jinlei) What is the current price situation? What is the price trend in the second half of the year? Will the price of pork fall? The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Bureau of Statistics responded to the price concerns of ordinary people.
Data map: Customers buy vegetables in supermarkets. China News reporter Li Jinlei
What is the current price situation?
According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on the 15th, the consumer price index (CPI) in May rose 2.4% year-on-year, and the growth rate fell for four consecutive months.
Fu Linghui, a spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics, said on the 15th that the rise in consumer prices in May was mainly due to the drop in some food prices. Since the beginning of this year, various localities have attached great importance to the production of agricultural products, implemented the responsibility system of the governor of "Rice Bag" and the responsibility system of the "Mayor of Vegetable Basket", and vigorously resumed the production of live pigs with positive results.
National Development and Reform Commission spokesman Meng Wei said at a news conference on the 16th that the May CPI rose 2.4% year-on-year, the smallest increase in nearly 14 months.
According to the monitoring of the National Development and Reform Commission, as of now, pork prices in 36 large and medium-sized cities, supermarkets and bazaars have fallen by more than 20% from their highs in mid-February. The combined average price of 15 vegetables fell by more than 40% from the high point at the end of January.
On June 15, citizens purchased vegetables in a supermarket in Xicheng District, Beijing. China News Agency reporter Jiang Qiming
What is the price trend in the second half of the year?
With the current price increase falling, will the CPI continue to decline in the later period? Will the annual price situation "before high and then low"?
Fu Linghui judged that there was a greater possibility of a stable market price in the later period. Driven by a series of consumption-promoting policies, market activity has increased, both retail and catering services have improved, and market demand has gradually recovered, which has had a certain upward effect on prices, but keeping prices generally stable or steadily decreasing There are many conditions.
“First, China’s grain production is generally stable and summer grain harvests are on the horizon, laying a solid foundation for stabilizing food prices; second, the increase in hog production and the reduction in the role of pork prices in pushing up CPI; third, the low price of industrial products and the significant drop in international commodity prices , The transmission of consumer goods prices is weak; fourth, the impact of tailing factors is also declining. In the second, third, and fourth quarters, the impact of tailing factors on CPI will show a downward trend from season to season." Fu Linghui pointed out that, overall, all The annual consumer prices have declined steadily, and there is a high probability of "being high before low".
Meng Wei also pointed out that with the gradual decline of the tail-lifting effect, it is expected that the CPI growth rate will continue to narrow later this year.
On May 12, a supermarket in Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province, consumers are buying pork. China News Service reporter Zhang Yunshe
Will the price of pork still fall?
How will the pork price change next? Meng Wei said that since last year, various regions and departments have taken active and effective measures to promote the resumption of production and expansion of live pigs. Recently, judging from the investigation, the current resumption of live pigs is still relatively good. The scale of large-scale farms has been expanding relatively quickly, and the scale and standardization of hog farming and the level of biological safety protection have been significantly improved.
The monitoring data of the relevant departments show that the number of capable sows and the number of live pigs has rebounded significantly from September and October last year. The number of newborn piglets has been increasing for many months in a row, and the supply of fattening pigs in the third quarter of this year is expected to improve.
"Overall judgment, pork prices are expected to maintain a steady decline in the second half of this year , and may fluctuate with seasonal and festive demand changes." Meng Wei said. (Finish)