China News Service, June 16th, National Development and Reform Commission spokesperson Meng Wei said on the 16th that overall judgment is that pork prices are expected to maintain a steady decline in the second half of this year and may fluctuate with seasonal and festive demand changes. .
On May 12, a supermarket in Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province, consumers are buying pork. China News Service reporter Zhang Yunshe
The National Development and Reform Commission held a routine press conference in June on the morning of the 16th. At the meeting, a reporter asked: The CPI from January to May was narrower than the previous month. How do you judge the trend of CPI in the second half of the year? Will the prices of pork and other foods fall further?
Meng Wei responded that all sectors of society are very concerned about the price trend. She pointed out that the May CPI rose 2.4% year-on-year, narrowing by 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, which is the smallest increase in the past 14 months. In particular, the year-on-year increase gap between CPI and core CPI is narrowing, narrowing from 4.2 percentage points in February this year to 1.3 percentage points in May this year. The increase in core CPI from April to May is 1.1%, further indicating that CPI is rising The structural factors of China are weakening rapidly, mainly because the prices of agricultural and sideline products such as pork and vegetables have dropped significantly.
Meng Wei said that according to the monitoring of the National Development and Reform Commission, as of now, pork prices in 36 large and medium-sized cities, supermarkets and bazaars have fallen by more than 20% from their highs in mid-February. The comprehensive average price of 15 kinds of vegetables dropped by more than 40% from the high point at the end of January. It should be said that the decline in pork and vegetable prices is still relatively obvious.
Talking about the question of "how will the price of pork change next, and the trend of food prices", Meng Wei said that from the data just now, regarding the price of pork, since last year, various regions and departments have taken active and effective measures. It is promoting the resumption of production and expansion of live pigs. Recently, we have also conducted a survey. Judging from the survey, the current trend of resuming live pigs is still relatively good. The scale expansion of large-scale breeding plants is relatively fast, and the scale and standardization of pig breeding and the level of biological safety protection have been significantly improved. The monitoring data of the relevant departments show that the number of capable sows and the number of live pigs has rebounded significantly from September and October last year. The number of newborn piglets has been increasing for many consecutive months, and it is expected that the supply of fattening pigs will tend to improve in the third quarter of this year.
Meng Wei pointed out that overall judgment is that pork prices are expected to maintain a steady decline in the second half of this year, and may fluctuate with seasonal and festive demand changes. In addition, my country's grain and edible oil supply is sufficient, and the price of grain and oil is expected to run smoothly. The prices of vegetables and fruits may have normal seasonal fluctuations, but the overall food prices will remain basically stable. From the perspective of the whole year, because China has sufficient macro policy space, strong domestic market support, and sufficient resilience and potential for economic development, the main industrial and agricultural industries are in a good production and production situation, and various consumers have sufficient supplies to maintain prices. Smooth operation is based on a solid foundation. As the effect of tail-lifting gradually declines, it is expected that the CPI increase will continue to narrow later this year. The whole year may show a trend of high and low, and prices will always fall out of a reasonable range.