At 48 hours of deconfinement, Bercy hopes for a rapid return to normal economic production, and fears that French activity will "start again slowly". The monitoring of health indicators of the effects of after May 11 will therefore be added to that of economic signals. 

D-2 before deconfinement. Monday, May 11, it will undoubtedly be hundreds of thousands of French people who will return to work, against the backdrop of an obsession with a second epidemic wave. The coronavirus is still circulating on the territory and the government will monitor with the greatest attention the health indicators, but also economic. Because the fear of the Ministry of Economy and Finance is that French activity "starts slowly", even "stagnate".

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"The maximum number of French people must return to work"

"It is necessary that the maximum of French return to work now and that all businesses reopen", insists with Europe 1 a prominent minister worried about the finances of the country. Because two months after Emmanuel Macron's "whatever it costs", the French economy is going through one of its worst crises: the country has more than 12 million people on partial unemployment, and the recession has taken hold. As for GDP, it fell by 6% between January and March.

The situation is also far from good for Social Security, which sees its deficit plunge to 41 billion euros ... in the best of cases. It is therefore urgent that the activity resumes, and that the money returns to the coffers of the State. 

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A recovery that also depends on the evolution of the pandemic

But the government knows it, it is not all based on the behavior of the French economy: the recovery also depends on the evolution of Covid-19 in the United States, the new epicenter of the pandemic, and the appearance, or not, of a second wave in Europe. Two factors currently unknown. So, the government is already working on activity support plans and a recovery strategy for the end of the summer.