"Rice noodles come with what you buy": calmly face the food problem
■ Observer
China's food security is far from worrying, and there is no need to panic.
A few days ago, the State Council ’s joint defense and joint control mechanism held a press conference. Pan Wenbo, director of the Plant Management Department of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, clearly responded to the external concern: the harvest of grain has been harvested for many years, and the inventory is relatively abundant; The process is progressing smoothly; the rations are completely self-sufficient and the international influence is limited;
Recently, affected by the epidemic, the international food market has indeed experienced some fluctuations. For example, some countries reduce the share of exports, which directly triggers a rise in global food transaction prices. When it is transmitted to the country, people's increasing concern about food security can be said to be due to an instinctive security vigilance. But this is not necessary, let alone panic buying and hoarding food.
As far as domestic food security is concerned, China's successive bumper grain harvests have been stable at more than 1.3 trillion catties for five consecutive years. Last year's grain output was 1.3277 trillion catties, a record high.
In terms of stocks, China ’s food stock consumption ratio is much higher than the 17% -18% safety level proposed by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. In particular, the stocks of the two major food rations—wheat and rice—are roughly equivalent to the annual consumption of the national people.
Therefore, in the words of experts, "The current food security situation in China is at the best period in history."
From the perspective of global food supply, the impact of the epidemic on world food security is actually mainly reflected in the tightening of trade policies in some countries, which may reduce the activity of global food market transactions, thereby endangering food security in local areas, not the total amount. " Cut production ". This can be seen from the reminders of the three major international organizations.
In other words, as long as international trade can continue to remain moderately open, food security is very limited by the epidemic.
China's external dependence on food security is already very low. For example, the net import of grain last year was 14.68 million tons, equivalent to less than 30 billion catties, accounting for only about 2% of the national grain consumption. And the purpose of import is mainly to adjust the demand structure to better meet personalized and diversified consumer needs.
In other words, even if food imports may be affected in the short term, it will not hurt the basic ration supply.
In addition, the current situation of prevention and control of the domestic epidemic situation continues to consolidate. Related grain and oil production enterprises are fully resuming production and production. The logistics and transportation systems are also accelerating. Together with "summer harvest of summer grain is expected, spring sowing is progressing smoothly" Stable market supply laid a better foundation.
Therefore, no matter from the perspective of food supply, inventory, or epidemic prevention and control situation, China's food security is far from worrying, and there is no need to panic.
What really needs to be vigilant is some irrational panic caused by the rendering of non-objective information. After all, unnecessary overreaction and self-interest in the normal market order are harmful and useless.
Of course, public emergencies are indeed a pressure test of the grain security supply and price stability system, which is conducive to inspiring the whole society's awareness of "safety and danger" in grain security guarantees, and thus to the grain security guarantee system from the perspective of crisis response Comprehensive "check and fill vacancies". But for ordinary people, the food problem at the moment can be a little more calm and rational.
□ Ran Ran (media person)