GDP revised value negative range expected to expand further Private research company forecast March 7 10:11

Regarding the revised GDP = Gross Domestic Product from October to December, announced at the beginning of the week, private research firms have revised downward from the preliminary stage of -6.3% annually, and the negative margin has been further reduced The expectation of expansion will increase.

The GDP growth rate from October to December last year was -1.6% in real terms excluding price fluctuations due to the increase in the consumption tax rate and -6.3% in terms of annual rate at the preliminary stage of last month. Was.

For this GDP, a revised value reflecting the latest statistics will be announced on the 9th of the week.

According to the forecasts of 11 companies such as private research firms, the revised value was -1.6% to -2.0% in real terms, and -6.1% to -7.9% on an annualized basis.

Ten of the 11 companies said that they would be revised downward from the preliminary report stage and the negative margin would further expand.

This is because the latest statistics show that corporate capital investment has fallen, and the two companies have predicted that the decline will be greater than the previous year's annual rate of minus 7.4% immediately after the consumption tax increase six years ago.

In addition, the economy is facing a difficult phase, with the forecast that GDP from January to March will be negative due to the spread of the new coronavirus.