The Brexit negotiations and the response to the epidemic caused dissatisfaction with polls saying Johnson's approval rating plummet

　　China News Service, January 4th, a comprehensive report, a latest public opinion survey shows that because the British public is dissatisfied with the government's handling of the new crown epidemic and the Brexit negotiations, the public support rate of British Prime Minister Johnson and the ruling Conservative Party has plummeted.

If a general election is held immediately, the Conservative Party may not be able to maintain a majority in Congress.

Data map: British Prime Minister Johnson.

　　The data research company Focaldata conducted this poll in December 2020, using a more precise "multiple regression post-stratification method" (MRP), and interviewing more than 22,000 voters according to different constituencies.

At that time, a more contagious variant virus appeared in the UK, the authorities stopped the "Christmas bubble" at the last moment, many European countries closed the UK to the UK, and uncertainty continued to increase before the end of the Brexit transition period.

　　In the 2019 general election, Johnson led the Conservative Party to a complete victory and has an advantage of 80 seats in Congress.

The poll predicts that in the general election that needs to be held in 2024 at the latest, the Conservative Party will lose 81 seats and lose its majority advantage. The Labour Party will gain 82 seats, and the two parties will get 284 seats and 282 seats respectively. Not more than half.

The Scottish National Party (SNP) is expected to take 57 out of 59 seats in Scotland and may form a coalition government with the Labour Party.

Data map: A sign on a street restaurant in London, England.

　　Polls also believe that the Labour Party can regain lost ground in northern, central England and Wales, reflecting the success of the new party leader in rebuilding the "red wall" of the Labour Party.

　　In general, the Labor Party will get 37.7% of the votes, a narrow lead over the Conservative Party with 35.6%.

　　Johnson himself also faces the risk of defeat. In the last general election, his seat in the Uxbridge constituency in London won by only 5034 votes, the least among the current prime ministers since 1924. Polls predict that he will be in the next general election. Lose.

　　However, supporters of the Conservative Party said that this poll was over before the Brexit trade agreement was reached, and said that the Conservative Party’s public opinion support rate has since rebounded.