Six days before the first round, Anne Hidalgo widens the gap with her competitors. This is the main lesson to be drawn from the BVA-La Tribune-Europe 1 * study conducted for the second round of municipal elections in Paris, which we are publishing on Monday morning. "She would get 45% of the voting intentions in Paris as a whole, which allows her to dominate the 34% of the lists supported by Rachida Dati quite widely", details Europe 1 microphone Edouard Lecerf, the deputy director general of the BVA institute. Agnes Buzy, candidate for the presidential party, is only credited with 18% of the voting intentions, according to the same survey.
"Anne Hidlago confirms, on the basis of her rather successful first round, a victory over Paris", continues Edouard Lecerf. "It retains all of its voters in the first round, but also recovers some of the voters of Cédric Villani, three-quarters of the voters of David Belliard. Its situation is relatively comfortable," he deciphers.
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An already folded ballot?
"Voters do not appear to be extremely mobilized to go to vote", however nuances our pollster, who evokes a participation rate possibly down by two points compared to the first round (about 40%). As a reminder, the poll of March 15, at the start of the Covid-19 epidemic, was marked by a record rate of abstention: 55.25% on average at the national level.
This is a Parisian specificity, since opinion surveys carried out in other large cities, notably Marseille and Bordeaux, suggest a surge in participation on June 28. "It is as if the games in the minds of Parisians have already been made," concludes Edouard Lecerf.