Corona Spread ... Researchers warn of catastrophic scenarios and demand strictness for stone application

Two outlook studies warned of catastrophic scenarios for the spread of the Corona epidemic if domestic quarantine measures were not implemented with the necessary rigor around the world, and some governments were forced to deploy their forces after people tolerated stone adherence.

In the first study, prepared by a team of researchers at Imperial College in Britain, researchers said that even with the application of isolation and quarantine procedures in the United States, the virus could kill more than a million people.

They added that the need for ventilators will be eight times greater than in the United States, and the total number of deaths in the world could reach 45 million.

In the event that what the study calls the repression scenario in applying these procedures, the number of deaths may stop at a few thousand in the United States, and the need for ventilators does not exceed what is present in the country.

Iranian study
In Iran, a study prepared by the "Sharif" University of Technology has developed three scenarios, the worst of which warned that people's lack of commitment to home stone and relying only on the country's health potential may raise the number of deaths in the country to 3.5 million, and the number of injuries to 4 million.

As for the worst case scenario, he expected that the commitment of citizens to 80% of government measures would result in 120,000 injuries and 12,000 deaths.

And the demands in various countries of the world coincide with the commitment of homes, as daily official data turned into a widespread appeal for the strict application of home stone.

In turn, Executive Director of the WHO emergency program Michael Ryan warned that countries can not only defeat the Corona virus by quarantining people in their homes, but rather by taking health measures that will prevent the virus from spreading again after people return to their normal lives.

Ryan added that the focus should now be on identifying those who are infected with the disease and isolating it from the rest of the people, pointing out that finding an effective and safe vaccine for the virus takes about a year.

He stressed that the young age group is not immune to the disease, according to health data collected by the organization from the countries most affected by the new epidemic.

The result of indulgence
The Italian case exemplifies the clearest example of what could arise from leniency in the application of quarantine and social isolation, as experts say that the numbers of victims would not have been inflated if these measures began in the first weeks of the crisis.

Despite the World Health Organization's warnings and large casualty figures in countries such as Italy and Iran, popular commitment to these measures remains weak in several countries of the world, prompting some governments to deploy army and security forces on the streets to compel people to stay at home.