(Combating New Crown Pneumonia) Interview with Zhang Wenhong: The global spread of New Crown Pneumonia is very worrying

China News Agency, Shanghai, February 28th: ​​Interview with Zhang Wenhong: The global spread of new crown pneumonia is very worrying

China News Agency reporter Li Peng

For more than a month, Zhang Wenhong has "hidden" most of the time at the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, about 60 kilometers from the city center. At this designated hospital in Shanghai where confirmed cases of New Coronary Pneumonia are confirmed, Zhang Wenhong, leader of the Shanghai New Coronary Pneumonia Medical Treatment Expert Team and director of the Department of Infectious Diseases of Huashan Hospital affiliated to Fudan University, has to inspect the room every day and carefully study more than 300 confirmed cases. Has been exploring the "temper" of the new crown virus.

On the 28th, a reporter from China News Agency interviewed Zhang Wenhong who took the time to return to the unit in Huashan Hospital. The outspoken "hard-core" expert Zhang Wenhong in people's minds is a warm and careful "Dad Zhang" in the eyes of colleagues, with iconic dark circles and blurted "golden sentences". He said that the global spread of new coronary pneumonia "is very Worrying. "

On February 28, Zhang Wenhong, the leader of Shanghai New Crown Pneumonia Medical Treatment Expert Team and director of the Department of Infectious Diseases, Huashan Hospital affiliated to Fudan University, accepted an exclusive interview with a reporter from China News Agency. Photo by China News Agency reporter Tang Yanjun

Prediction has begun, no result has been predicted

When New Coronary Pneumonia just broke out, Zhang Wenhong had predicted that there might be three situations in China's anti-epidemic situation: the first one is very smooth and should be controlled within 2-4 months; the second one is glued, which takes about 6 months; the first Three are that China cannot control and the epidemic is sweeping the globe.

"Now China's answer sheet is being submitted. It is indeed possible to control the epidemic in 2-4 months. But we predicted the beginning but did not predict the result." Zhang Wenhong said, "In the beginning, I thought China was in control, and the world was fine. ; Now it is found that the situation in China is gradually under control, but something has happened in the world. "

At present, the number of newly confirmed cases abroad has surpassed China for two consecutive days. Zhang Wenhong said, "This situation actually tells us that there are some bad signs in the world. Now that China is gradually being controlled, the world has spread. This is a very worrying thing."

Zhang Wenhong believes that in order to control the epidemic, a country and region must have a very good prevention and control strategy. China's experience may not be suitable for other countries, and the strategies of other countries may not be suitable for China. The most essential things about infectious diseases are the same, how to control the source of infection, how to cut off the transmission route, and how to protect the susceptible population. Therefore, each country must then formulate its own prevention and control strategy according to its own national conditions.

New coronary pneumonia symptoms like SARS, spread like flu

Zhang Wenhong said that as long as everyone in the entire country can unite and take epidemic prevention and control as a very important thing, the prevention and treatment of this disease can be achieved.

The first confirmed case was found in Shanghai on January 20, and the discharge rate of confirmed patients in Shanghai has reached 83%. Zhang Wenhong said that from this point of view, the disease is curable. In terms of prevention and control models, the original digital model predicted that the number of people infected in Shanghai was tens of thousands, but now there are only 337 people, so from this point of view, the disease is controllable.

Because there are still many different opinions about the length of the incubation period of new coronal pneumonia, the size of the transmission power, and the confirmation of the transmission route, and there are also phenomena such as the incubation period that can spread and Fuyang after recovery, some people think that the new coronavirus is "very demon".

Zhang Wenhong said that after clearing the temper of New Crown Pneumonia, you will not think he is a "very demon" virus. The new coronary pneumonia symptoms are a bit like SARS, but not as severe, and spread like flu. The characteristic is a bit between SARS and flu, and it is a very unique coronavirus.

Zhang Wenhong believes that with the deepening of the understanding of this disease, this disease should be directly called Coronavirus Disease 2019, because it is not only pneumonia, some mild patients do not show the symptoms of pneumonia, and some severe patients are not just lung damage. There is also damage to multiple organs such as the heart, so it is a disease overall.

On February 28, Zhang Wenhong, the leader of Shanghai New Crown Pneumonia Medical Treatment Expert Team and director of the Department of Infectious Diseases of Huashan Hospital affiliated to Fudan University, said in an exclusive interview with a reporter from China News Agency that whether it is the development of vaccines or drugs, China will solve this new crown pneumonia The outbreak was too late. Photo by China News Agency reporter Tang Yanjun

Epidemic prevention and control is a system, drugs and vaccines will not bring about the same results as God

Many people and institutions are now developing vaccines and medicines. Zhang Wenhong said that he did not have first-hand materials and it was difficult to judge when they would come out. Judging from the prevention and treatment of SARS and MERS, it may be difficult to make drugs and vaccines.

Zhang Wenhong said that although some viruses have disappeared through global vaccination, the situation is different now. In the short term, the prevention and control of new coronary pneumonia should not be too hopeful that drugs and vaccines will bring about the same results. It is hoped that the strength of the Chinese people will resolutely implement the current prevention and control strategies, consolidate the results at this stage, and control the new type of coronary pneumonia.

Zhang Wenhong believes that even if the research and development progresses very smoothly, it is estimated that the first vaccine will be obtained by the end of the year. However, the research and development of vaccines and drugs should not be stopped now. It will be useful for the next epidemic in other countries and regions in the world, and it will be useful for possible epidemics facing China in the future.

He also said that with the vaccine and drugs, can the epidemic be solved? There are more than one type of vaccine and medicine for influenza. However, there are outbreaks of influenza every year, and some people die. Therefore, the prevention and control of infectious diseases is a systemic problem, not that a vaccine or medicine can solve it.

Economic recovery does not indicate a decline in vigilance

There were no new confirmed patients in Shanghai on the 27th. Zhang Wenhong said that the confirmed case was "zero at this time, but I am very worried. How can so many people come in to be zero? The more imported cases are found, the safer our city will be."

On the way back to the city center on the 28th, Zhang Wenhong encountered a traffic jam. He said that this shows that the city has begun economic recovery, but the economic recovery does not mean that the epidemic prevention level has decreased or vigilance has decreased. The screening of fever clinics in various hospitals has in fact been more tightly controlled than in the previous paragraph.

Zhang Wenhong said that Shanghai's prevention and control level is still very high, and it is still discouraged to have a very high degree of tightness. The prevention and control of the epidemic is not a matter for the government. It has something to do with each family, and everyone must be highly vigilant.

When can I remove my mask in Shanghai? Zhang Wenhong said that it may be necessary to see that all the people returning to Shanghai have come and resumed work. Then no new patients were found in Shanghai. It is estimated that this time is the time when all the masks are removed. When is it? ? You might have to look at it in the last few weeks. (Finish)