Khamis bin Brik-Tunisia

Observers do not exclude the possibility that the Tunisian government proposed by Prime Minister-designate Habib El-Gamly will not pass the parliament’s confidence-giving session scheduled for Friday, due to the absence of a political belt supported by the parliamentary blocs, as well as the objections directed against a number of ministers.

The proposed government, which has been around two months ago to assign Al-Gamali to form it, faces a difficult test tomorrow morning, especially after many political parties, such as the Democratic Movement and the People’s Movement, shrank from supporting the government because they rejected the prime minister’s designations.

The refusal of the "Heart of Tunisia" party - led by the media mogul Nabil Karoui - increased participation in the proposed government, adding to the ambiguity surrounding giving it confidence. Rather, the villager's recent meeting with outgoing Prime Minister Youssef Chahed fueled doubts about the tendency to topple the government.

Missing support
It is not mathematically possible for the government to obtain the confidence of the parliament (at least 109 votes) in the absence of the support of the "Heart of Tunisia" (38 seats), with which the winning movement in the legislative elections (52 seats) was refusing to alliance with it because of the charges that caused its founder Nabil Karoui to be corrupt.

According to analysts, the Renaissance movement finds itself in a non-strong position, not only because of the absence of political support for the government of al-Jamali, but also because of the absence of a unified position within it to support the proposed government, because of reservations part of it about some of the ministers who were chosen.

The leader of the movement, Imad Al-Hamami, told Al Jazeera Net that his party has reservations about the proposed government’s composition, explaining that his party’s call to convene the Shura Council Thursday evening comes within the framework of studying the latest developments in forming the government and looking for all scenarios, including not recommending them.

The convening of the Al-Nahda Shura Council comes at a time when an exciting meeting between the villager and the witness who leads the "Long Live Tunisia" party was revealed. Observers considered that his aim was to topple the government of al-Gamli.

The Heart of Tunisia party, through the statements of its leaders, appears to refuse to give confidence to the proposed government. In this context, party leader Ayad Al-Lumi says to Al-Jazeera Net that the party's National Council is studying the decision to vote for the government or not, criticizing at the same time the efficiency and independence of the government.

Suspicions of corruption
Criticism of some ministers in the proposed government, such as Minister of Defense Imad Darwish, Finance Minister Abdul Rahman al-Khashtali, Minister of Sports Tariq Dhiab, Minister of Social Affairs Syed Bilal and Minister of Interior Sufyan al-Sulaiti, increased in creating a public opinion questioning the credibility of the proposed government.

The National Syndicate of the Internal Security Forces announced today, Thursday, its refusal to deal with the proposed Interior Minister Sufyan Al-Sulaiti, the spokesperson for the Judicial Pole to Combat Terrorism, warning against escalation against him on the pretext that he contributed after the 2011 revolution to striking the security establishment and dismantling the state security apparatus.

Today, the National Anti-Corruption Commission sent a correspondence to Al-Jamali, which includes a list of names of some ministers and the state's book within the proposed government composition, relating to them suspicions of corruption and files filed against them with administrative and financial charges that were referred to the judiciary.

Among these names are the proposed Finance Minister, Abd al-Rahman al-Khashtali, who was investigated last Wednesday at the Economic and Financial Judicial Pole, and the proposed Minister of Social Affairs Syed Bilal, who said that the judiciary absolved him of the charges.

Al-Gamali had pledged a few days ago to make changes to the composition of his government if he provided him with any evidence about the involvement of any minister in corruption cases, calling for recommending his government first, but it seems that his pledges did not find listening ears by many political parties and national organizations.

The Tunisian Forum for Economic and Social Rights (a human rights organization) also called for not to give confidence to the government because of what it considered to be the incompetence of the ministers, while the National Commission for Human Rights condemned the appointment of the proposed defense minister, who accused it of being behind the freezing of its activities during the dictatorship.

Weak luck
Political analyst Abdel-Gawad Al-Harazi believes that there is a very high possibility of not giving confidence to the proposed government due to the weakness of the political belt around it, explaining that the "Heart of Tunisia" party has become specific in recommending the government, and that its refusal to give it confidence will constitute an impediment to its passage in Parliament.

Al-Harazi considered that objecting to the composition of the government (42 ministers and state clerks) due to suspicions of corruption and suspicion of its independence and the ratio of a number of its ministers to Al-Nahda, contributed to undermining the government's credibility and making its chances of endorsement weak in the absence of balanced party support for it in Parliament.

He pointed out that the Al-Nahda movement has become serious about passing through the scenario of President Qais Saeed assigning a new prime minister after the expiry of the two-month deadline for Al-Gamali’s first constitutional mandate on November 15.

For his part, political analyst Jawhar bin Mubarak told Al-Jazeera Net that the ambiguity and suspense surrounding the session of granting confidence tomorrow morning, considering that the proposed government's obtaining confidence was not resolved in light of the criticisms directed against it and the lack of clarity of the position of the Renaissance movement.

Ben Mubarak explains that "the Tunisian Heart Party has become specified in recommending the government, but the Renaissance movement itself is not sure about voting for its benefit, and there is a possibility to change its position, and it is expected that it will withdraw its confidence from the government." It is not excluded that Al-Nahda decides to participate in the government of the president if it falls The proposed government.

It is noteworthy that the transition to a new constitutional deadline of two months will be in accordance with the provisions of Chapter 89 of the Constitution, where the President of the Republic shall undertake to assign a Prime Minister within 10 days of the dropping of the proposed government to start forming a new government.

And after the lapse of two months of consultations to form a government without obtaining the recommendation of Parliament, the President of the Republic shall have the right to dissolve Parliament and call for new legislative elections.