Without a majority in the Canadian Parliament, Justin Trudeau will have to compose

In the neck and neck with the Conservatives and suspended before the election, Justin Trudeau finally won his bet. Despite a series of scandals, the Canadian Prime Minister got a second term Monday, October 22 after his party's victory in the general election. But this success is relative.

While the Liberals had a comfortable 177-seat absolute majority in the outgoing assembly, they are in the lead in only 157 of the country's 338 ridings, according to the still tentative results of the Canadian Election Commission. Justin Trudeau needed 170 seats. The next government will therefore be a minority.

Thank you, Canada, for having confidence in our team and for believing that we can move this country in the right direction. No matter who you voted for, our team will work hard for all Canadians.

Dial with the NDP and the Bloc Québécois

Starting today, the Liberal leader will begin discussions with a view to punctual agreements during votes in the House of Commons. As Le Devoir notes, "Trudeau's surest ally will be the leader of the New Democratic Party, Jagmeet Singh, whose 24 seats are enough to provide him with the stability he seeks." Even if its results are disappointing, with 15.9% of the vote and 24 elected against 44 in the previous legislature, the left party NPD should have a strong influence on the next government. Its leader, Jagmeet Singh, phoned Justin Trudeau to tell him that his party would "ensure we meet the priorities of Canadians."

In his speech at the announcement of the results, this 40-year-old lawyer, one of the revelations of the campaign, announced "he will want to tackle climate change, provide more affordable housing , that we reconcile more sincerely with the aboriginal people and that we introduce a universal drug insurance plan ", summarizes Le Devoir. "These are the priorities that I will put at the heart of the conversations I will have in the coming weeks," he said.

The winner of this election is not a leader or a party: the winners should be Canadians.

People want a government that works for them, not for the rich and powerful. # elxn43

To succeed in governing, Justin Trudeau will also have to negotiate with the Bloc Québécois' independence movement, which has achieved a breakthrough in the Belle province, where it leads in 32 constituencies, a score three times higher than that of the last election in 2015. , and garnered 7.7% of the vote nationally. In the evening, Justin Trudeau did not fail to offer a hand extended to these voters. "My dear Quebeckers, I heard your message tonight," he said. "You want to keep moving forward with us, but you also want to make sure that Quebec's voice is going to Ottawa even more, and I give you my word, my team and I will be here for you," he said. added without citing the Bloc Québécois directly.

In response, reports Le Devoir, "the leader of the Bloc Quebecois made it clear that the purpose of his mandate was not to help or hinder the proper functioning of Canada". "The Bloc Québécois does not want to form a government or even participate in a government," said Yves-François Blanchet, "but the Bloc Québécois can, on merit, collaborate with any government."

Speech by the leader of the Bloc Québécois, who was elected:

"We are coming back from far, but we will go even further ... The Bloc Québécois can, on merit, collaborate with any government. "

- @ yfblanchet # polcan # elxn43 #CdnPoli pic.twitter.com/V18aOYUbSX

Minority governments that do not last long

In his short speech on Monday night, Justin Trudeau did not give clues about future collaboration with the opposition parties. "There will probably be easier rapprochement between the Liberals and the NDP with the Bloc," said Hugo Cyr, political scientist at the University of Quebec in Montreal, interviewed by AFP. "If the Liberal Party makes the concessions expected by the NDP, it can be pretty solid, we can imagine that it will last at least 18 to 24 months," he says. "But it's certain that the Liberal Party will have to put some water in its wine."

In Canada, minority governments have rarely been in power for more than two and a half years. Will Justin Trudeau be an exception? At any rate, he is following the path of his father, Pierre Elliott Trudeau, former Prime Minister of Canada. As recalled by Le Monde, "at the end of his first term in 1972, he was re-elected to power and had to form a minority government.He won two other mandates, with an absolute majority, marking the history of the country."

Justin Trudeau is now in charge of forming a new government, drafting his legislative agenda and then submitting it to the vote of the new Parliament in the Speech from the Throne. It is during this vote of confidence that the new minority government will know its baptism of fire.