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According to the parliamentary elections, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau would be re-elected but with a minority government. REUTERS / Stephane Mahe

As the polls predicted, the ruling Liberal Party failed to elect enough MPs to establish itself as a majority party based on projections. Its leader Justin Trudeau remains Prime Minister, mail he will have to seek the support of other political parties on certain occasions.

Canadian channels have not predicted the magnitude of 47-year-old Trudeau's victory over 40-year-old Conservatives Andrew Scheer. The two parties were given elbow-to-elbow by all the latest polls.

If these projections are confirmed, Quebec's Justin Trudeau will have won his bid for a second term, despite the many scandals that have marked his four years in office.

But it is weakened by this election, and will have to find the support of smaller parties in the House of Commons to maintain itself. At the dissolution of the current chamber, the Liberals enjoyed an absolute majority of votes, with 177 seats out of 338.

The Canadian electoral system provides that an outgoing Prime Minister may remain in office even if his party does not obtain a majority of seats, as long as it meets a majority in confidence votes in the House of Commons.

You want to make sure that the voice of Quebec goes even more to Ottawa and I give you my word, my team and I, we will be there for you

Excerpt from Justin Trudeau's speech 22/10/2019 - by Radio Canada Listen

Alliances to predict

As of Tuesday, October 22, the Liberal leader could start talks with these smaller parties for an alliance. The first test of the future government will be the Speech from the Throne, in which the government submits its legislative program to the vote of Parliament.

Mr. Trudeau should particularly approach the New Democratic Party (NDP, left), Jagmeet Singh , one of the revelations of these elections, or the Bloc Québécois, independentist training led by the other revelation of the campaign, Yves-François Blanchet.

It is precisely the Bloc's rebirth that has certainly deprived the Liberal Party of its majority, explains our correspondent in Quebec, Pascale Guéricolas .

Virtually moribund four years ago, this training, which exists only in Quebec, has regained hope with a new leader who is determined to promote the interests of the francophone province.

►Also read: In Canada, a first debate in French for Justin Trudeau and his opponents

No participation rate has been published. Some 4.7 million voters had voted early, from Friday to Monday last week, a figure sharply higher than in 2015.

Approaching his fifties, Justin Trudeau no longer has the assets of youth and novelty that had helped to bring him to power, to everyone's surprise, in 2015 against the Conservative Stephen Harper.

The Liberal leader ends his term weakened by several scandals. His popularity dropped after a case of political interference in court proceedings, and the publication in the middle of the photo campaign where he is staged in Black ( blackface ) has blurred his image.

►Also read: In Canada, Justin Trudeau caught up with an embarrassing picture

Throughout the campaign, he defended his record: solid economy, legalized cannabis , carbon tax, hosting tens of thousands of Syrian refugees , free trade agreements signed with Europe or the United States and Mexico.

Governing Canada, however, promises to be difficult. Justin Trudeau will indeed have to reconcile the interests of the West and the regions dependent on oil and gas, with those of the East more favorable to renewable energies. A big gap that will require a lot of fingering.

I see that Quebeckers too, despite what has been said, want to be in the action, want to be around the table at the Council of Ministers and push values ​​that are fundamentally Quebec-based in relation to the environment, in relation to gender equality, in relation to the right of women to choose

Joel Lightbound, Canadian Liberal MP 22/10/2019 - by Pascale Guéricolas Listen