Mohammed Mohsen Wedd - Occupied Jerusalem
On the political instability of the government of Benjamin Netanyahu, which relies on 61 members of the Israeli parliament (the Knesset); the withdrawal of the coalition on Monday evening a series of laws on the agenda of the Knesset, fearing not to ratify it, after the passing of no-confidence proposals for the government, which did not Fall because of the opposition's failure to get 61 votes.
Netanyahu's speech, "only the elections," at the Defense Ministry headquarters in Tel Aviv, carried a clear tone of security: a package of letters - according to political analysts - was that the security risks were great and the challenges were as well. Early elections.
But Netanyahu's offer, according to analysts, is disproportionate to the political fever of his political trips in recent months, his repeated speeches about Israel's excellent strategic position, and the fact that only two weeks ago he seriously considered announcing early elections for appropriate reasons.
However, the impression that has emerged from these messages is that the over-described challenges and security risks on the Gaza front are influenced by Netanyahu's political anxiety, following the resignation of Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman, rejecting a cease-fire with the resistance factions.
| Netanyahu (left) during a hearing in the Knesset (European) |
Political stability
While Netanyahu is looking for political stability, a source close to the finance minister, head of the Kolano bloc, Moshe Kahlon, told Haaretz that despite his previous remarks, Kahlon is not planning to vote next Wednesday on bills to kick-start Knesset elections and dismantle the government.
This comes after the head of the "House of the Jewish" Minister Naftali Bennett Monday not to withdraw from the government, and withdraw his requests from Netanyahu to take over the defense portfolio as a condition to stay in the coalition.
Bennett and his party partner, Justice Minister Eyalit Shaked, were never convinced of the security risks posed by Netanyahu during his announcement to keep the defense portfolio for himself. However, they decided not to resign, and therefore, the coalition will remain alive at the moment.
Kahlon said during a meeting of the members of his bloc that this government will not hold long with 61 members of the Knesset, and will later fall due to internal quarrels, until a date is agreed on the elections, which will apparently be in March 2019.
The journalist and political analyst of Channel 10, Cevi Ovadia, believes that despite Bennett's decision not to withdraw from the government, it can not be ruled out that this decision will prevent early elections, but what Netanyahu achieved within 24 hours is a political charm that prevented his government from being dismantled. The political blow to it, and its delivery to the beach of safety, even temporarily, he said.
| Netanyahu during a meeting with members of his (European) |
Facing Hamas
For his part, the rabbi of "religious Zionism" Yoel Ben Nun believes that Netanyahu's era is characterized by a clear preference for political and diplomatic operations, security policies and a sense of greatness, strength and deterrence, considering that this is a historic change and transformation, accompanied by advantages and preferences, but also painful prices.
According to an article published in the newspaper "Israel Today", Israel's security policy is subject to foreign policy led by Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Netanyahu, pointing out that the security policy in the face of Hamas in Gaza has been taking place in recent years within the framework of regional foreign policy, With Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states.
Ben-Nun stresses that Netanyahu is working to achieve strategic goals with the help of Egypt, and therefore he is not ready at this stage to launch a military campaign on Gaza in a way that would affect coordination with Cairo, especially as it seeks to restore the Egyptians economic and political control of Gaza, In Gaza to obtain Egyptian citizenship in the long term.
| Protesters demand Netanyahu's resignation a few days ago (Anatolia) |
Disturbing developments
Under the heading "Netanyahu is recruiting security for political service, and Bennett is not mature in leadership," Amos Harel, a military analyst in Ha'aretz, wrote that the confrontation with Hamas in the Gaza Strip led to widespread frustration, accompanied by public criticism of the way Palestinians manage limited escalation Without paying a particularly high price for the Israeli response.
However, "basic considerations remain unchanged. Neither Netanyahu nor the army's staff wants a comprehensive confrontation with Hamas, and Israel will find it difficult to launch a large-scale military operation when Egypt, its closest partner, is still working hard to achieve a long-term ceasefire "He said.
On the northern front, the military analyst said, "The situation is already complicated. The Russian plane crash two months ago significantly reduced the freedom of maneuver of the Israeli air force." Russia's unwavering attitude towards the Israeli attacks in Syria in previous years has been replaced by a grim tone and threatening behavior.
"The security establishment is concerned about Russia's increasing interest in Lebanon and the possibility that Iran will expand its efforts to build rockets for Hezbollah in Lebanon while exploiting the umbrella of Russian defense," Harel said.
"The worrisome developments in the north are imposing certain restrictions on Israeli actions in Gaza, fearing war on both fronts, and Israel, as the prime minister knows well, is in complex strategic circumstances. His speech seems to be linked to the political risks he faces. "