How many of the 1,479 centralized segregated observers at Suifenhe Port will be confirmed? Suifenhe acting mayor forecast: may be between 15% -20%

[Global Network Comprehensive Report] As of 24:00 on the 12th, the Heilongjiang Suifenhe Port cumulatively reported 243 confirmed cases. What pressure is this small town with only 70,000 borders facing? Tonight's CCTV program "News 1 + 1", the host Bai Yansong specially invited Wang Yongping, deputy secretary and acting mayor of Suifenhe Municipal Committee, Mudanjiang City, Heilongjiang Province.

Bai Yansong: At present, the cumulative number of confirmed cases is 243, but the customs has been sealed for more than a week. How many people have been isolated and observed before, how do we face this group of people?

Wang Yongping: Since March 21, when our country implemented centralized segregation after returning people, the Suifenhe Port has entered a total of 2497 people. Currently, there are 243 confirmed cases and 102 asymptomatic infections. There are 8 suspected cases, so our current focus is on 1479 people who are still in concentrated isolation.

Bai Yansong: According to the previous entry of about 2,400, but 243 cases were diagnosed. Now, including your communication with medical experts, how many of the more than 1,000 people who are observed may be converted into confirmed cases. Of course, this is not a Say the concept of particularly particularly accurate data.

Wang Yongping: Especially in the past few days, the Suifenhe Port Travel Inspection Channel has been temporarily closed, but from the data released by our province, in recent days, there have been 22 new cases of imported imported confirmed diseases respectively, 21 There are three main reasons for this case and 49 cases. One is that a part of the asymptomatic patients who are being diagnosed are converted to confirmed patients, the second is that some suspected cases are converted to confirmed cases, and the third is a part of the people who are being concentrated in isolation A confirmed case appeared.

Bai Yansong: Then it is still possible that we have to make some bad preparations. For example, what percentage of the cases will be converted into confirmed cases?

Wang Yongping: From the current data, the proportion of pre-diagnosis is about 10%, but if you add the current asymptomatic infections, the infection rate is about 15%, so it will be seen that this ratio may be 15 Between% -20%.