Palestine: A new stage for "state regulation" at the time of the "deal of the century"

The Islamic State group anticipated the official announcement of US President Donald Trump's peace plan for the region - known as the "Deal of the Century" - by announcing the start of a "new phase" of jihad that puts the liberation of Palestine at the center of his next priorities, and aimed at attacking the settlement settlement called "Israel". And all Jews around the world.

Despite the weak operational and operational military capacity of the organization of the state within the occupied Palestinian territories, and its failure to establish active entities, networks, and cells there, the ideological and strategic shift in the organization’s directions from the priority of "near enemy" combat, to merging the jihadist and direct dimensions of fighting the "distant enemy"; indicates The beginning of a "new phase" and various foundations in the vision of the new leadership of the Islamic State after the killing of its leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi.

Over the years, the “Islamic State” organization revealed great flexibility in adapting to the changes, and a remarkable ability in the field of propaganda, mobilization, mobilization, polarization and recruitment, and the speed of dealing with geopolitical transformations in the region. The organization’s media discourse is based on “pre-propaganda” issues, according to The term French philosopher and theorist Jacques Elleau.

The organization of the state reinforces ideas and concepts that are already common and does not create them, but rather adopts and directs them. It focused on resisting the American occupation of Iraq and global "imperialism" at an early stage, then on confronting Iranian "Shiite" influence and regional sectarianism, and then on opposing the local "dictatorship" and restoring it. Sunni caliphate.

At the time of the "Deal of the Century" - aimed at liquidating the Palestinian cause - the Islamic State announced (on January 27, 2020) the start of a "new phase" targeting the Israeli colony, in an audio recording issued by its media establishment, Al-Furqan, entitled “God has destroyed them and the disbelievers like her,” in which the organization’s spokesman, Abu Hamza al-Qurashi, called for the failure of the “deal”.

Al-Qurashi said: The new leader of the Islamic State, Abu Ibrahim Al-Hashemi Al-Qurashi, "determined himself and his Mujahideen brothers ... on a new stage, which is fighting the Jews and recovering what they stole from Muslims." He added, "The eyes of the caliphate's soldiers are still everywhere Al-Maqdis, "pledging to carry out major attacks" in the coming days.

He called on "Muslims in Palestine and all countries (to be) spearheads in fighting the Jews and thwarting their plans as a deal for their century", and accused Hamas of "apostasy and labor", and asked "the caliph's soldiers in every place and singled out the blessed Sinai and Levant people" to target the settlements . "Make it a land to test your chemical weapons and missiles," he said.

The timing of the Islamic State’s announcement of the start of a new phase, titled the Palestinian issue, was not random. He sent his message twenty-four hours before the date of the American official announcement of the “Deal of the Century”, a deal whose terms have been known since President Trump's arrival, and the announcement has not come Its terms on January 28, 2020 are anything new.

It is a plan based on rebuilding the Middle East through the entrance of "terrorism", and it is based on liquidating the Palestinian issue and integrating the Israeli settlement colony into the fabric of the Arab-Islamic region, by establishing an American-Arab-Israeli alliance (NATO) under the pretext of facing a common threat reduced to Islamic organizations. The “terrorist” and the “Iranian Republic”.

The tracks of implementation of the American-Israeli plan were launched early, by giving up final status issues (Jerusalem, settlements, borders, refugees, and water) in advance and without negotiations, enabling the Netanyahu government to annex parts of the West Bank and imposing Israeli sovereignty over the settlements, and some Arab countries involved in "Deal of the Century" is the ceremony to announce the plan, which is: the Emirates, Bahrain and the Sultanate of Oman, where Trump expressed his thanks to her for her support of the plan, and Egypt and Saudi Arabia confined themselves to appreciating the American role.

The new stage announced by the Islamic State, focusing on the Palestinian issue, indicates that the new leadership - appointed after the killing of its leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi and official spokesman Abu al-Hassan al-Muhajir on October 26, 2019 - has a more comprehensive view of the goals , In a framework of pragmatism and the most radical and dangerous flexibility.

The new leadership - which the organization unveiled on October 31, 2019 in an audio message broadcast by its media wing, "Al-Furqan Foundation" for its new spokesperson Abu Hamza al-Qurashi, announces the appointment of Abu Ibrahim al-Hashemi al-Qurashi as "Commander of the Faithful and a successor to Muslims" - confirms that the state organization has completed the process of restoring Organizational restructuring After losing all areas of its spatial control, it returned to work as a secret organization with the greatest flexibility to switch from a decentralized approach to a decentralized state.

It has rebuilt its military, security, administrative, financial, legal, and media structure, and has begun approving military plans in accordance with the requirements of a "war of attrition" and "guerrilla warfare" tactics, not only in Iraq and Syria, but also in many countries where it has established operating branches as states in each of: Libya, Egypt, Yemen and Saudi Arabia Algeria, Khorasan (Afghanistan and Pakistan region), "Caucasus" and "East Asia", mostly active in the Philippines and Somalia, and "West Africa" ​​and mostly active in Nigeria.

The letter of the “Islamic State” - declared to start a “new phase” titled “Palestine” - identifies with the growing beliefs and feelings in the Arab and Islamic worlds in the presence of an American / Zionist "conspiracy" in which Arab parties participate to liquidate the Palestinian cause, and the organization seeks - by announcing its intention to thwart The deal - to re-introduce himself again to the angry fans in the area.

He also seeks - at the same time - to address his opponents in global jihad, especially the "Al Qaeda" organization, of which Palestine is one of his most important priorities on the rhetorical level since the beginnings of its first establishment in Afghanistan, and after announcing the formation of the "International Islamic Front to fight the Jews and the Crusaders" in February / February 1998, and then in the aftermath of the attacks of September 11, 2001 when Osama bin Laden launched - in his famous section - that "neither America nor anyone who lives in America will enjoy security until we live a reality in Palestine", and the Palestinian issue may constitute a gateway to end the differences between the Islamic State And al-Qaeda, and opens the way for them to return to cooperation, to reach Z merger again.

The declaration of the “Islamic State” is the start of a “new phase” by directing the fight to liberate Palestine and targeting “Israel”, a major shift in the tactics and strategies of the organization, which was based on the priority of fighting the “close enemy” with the goal of spatial control and the establishment of the “caliphate” state, as a foundational step before entering In the face of the "distant enemy" occupied Palestine.

The well-known Abu Musab al-Zarqawi phrase - after the American occupation of Iraq in 2003 - indicates in his first video speech, "This is a communication for people," in which he said: "We fight in Iraq and our eyes are on Jerusalem." The new spokesman, Abu Hamza al-Qurashi, cited a shift in order Priorities, as the stages are no longer successive but rather sequential and simultaneous, in a case of merging all the jihadi dimensions: local, regional and international, and the escaping, empowerment and solidarity, where the war becomes open in time and place according to the ability and the possibility.

There is no argument that the new stage announced by the State’s organization constitutes a major transformation in terms of ideological and strategic thinking, and we may see its material effects in the medium and long term; but at the operational level, it does not have sufficient operational capabilities in the near term. The organization has relatively modest capabilities in Sinai and Syria And, the two regions that have borders with "Israel", which were referred to by his spokesman.

“Sinai Province” - which follows the Islamic State since November 2014 and which has been bearing the name "Ansar Beit al-Maqdis" since its appearance in February 2011 - is a candidate for carrying out rocket attacks, which it has been doing from time to time, but Its current capabilities have weakened a lot. In Syria, ISIS presence is concentrated in the northeast, and in the Badia region, which is far from the border with "Israel", and it may be able to infiltrate and launch some limited-impact missiles.

As for the occupied Palestinian territories, the organization was not able to establish clear organizational structures, despite the presence of groups that declared their loyalty to the organization, especially in Gaza, but they entered into a clash with the Hamas movement, which controls its control over the Strip, and it launches some missiles at intervals.

These groups announced the establishment of the Mujahideen Shura Council on June 18, 2012, which is a coalition whose main components are: “Army of Islam”, “Army of the Nation”, “Group of Tawhid and Jihad” and “Soldiers of Ansar Allah”, in addition to the presence of two nearby organizations Of the global jihadism, namely: the "Tawhid Brigade" of the Nasser Salahuddin brigades, and the Abdullah Azzam Brigades, therefore, its capabilities and capabilities are limited.

In the West Bank, the Palestinian Authority has relatively succeeded in dismantling the military infrastructure of Hamas, and global jihadism has failed to establish clear organizational structures, despite the emergence of some individual cells that have announced their closeness to "statehood", and within the occupied Palestinian territories 48 there are several issues in The courts, "Israeli" on charges of belonging and trying to join the "organization of the state", but without the presence of clear groups.

The bottom line is that ISIS’s announcement of the start of a “new phase” titled liberating Palestine and targeting the settlement settlement called “Israel” constitutes a major shift in the organization’s ideology and strategy, but its operational operational effect in the near term is limited, as the organization does not have organizational structures It is strong in the Palestinian geographical field, and it does not have much operational capacity to carry out coordinated attacks, although we may witness operations from "individual wolves" and individual cells.

But the effects of the announcement in the medium and long term may be profound, as it paves the way for the reunification of the global jihad, which has witnessed divisions over priorities over the past years. In light of the American / Israeli "deal of the century" theses that seek to liquidate the Palestinian issue with the complicity and participation of Arab and Islamic countries, the "Islamic State" re-establishes its attractiveness and renews its foundations in recruitment and polarization.