The EU countries should make joint efforts against the backdrop of an increased flow of refugees to Greece in order to prevent a new migration crisis in Europe, more severe than in 2015. This opinion was expressed by the head of the German Foreign Ministry, Horst Seehofer, in an interview with the German edition of Bild.
“If we, like the EU, do not have the strength to solve the problem, we will experience what we experienced in 2015, it was a loss of control,” the German Foreign Minister stressed. Europe continues to fall into the abyss of the crisis leading to the collapse caused by a tangle of unsolvable problems - from the migration collapse, which was already spoken of even to the ugliness of "hospitable" Germany, to the identity crisis. Today, Europeans are increasingly asking themselves, “Who are we?”
According to the research of American sociologists, the host society can integrate into itself painlessly no more than 10% of visitors in a generation. This is a period of approximately 25 years. And it is precisely to integrate, that is, accept, equip, find a job or put on an allowance, and begin a gradual process of assimilation, which you cannot do right now.
Assimilation - this is when a person himself, voluntarily assumes the identity of the society in which he arrives - sometimes takes more than one generation. Many have heard about the problem of the second generation, when the children of migrants already challenge the host society, exaltedly emphasizing their otherness, emphasizing their basic, original identity. That is, more or less tolerably harmonious, they can begin to feel themselves no earlier than from the third generation, and this, if taken mechanically for 25 years, is already much more than 50 years old.
In the third generation, the descendant of migrants who once arrived will already (there is hope) consider the language of the host society to be their own, perceive its culture as their own, their way of life - harmonious, the rules and laws - logical and acceptable. Or maybe not. For the memory of blood is a pretty strong thing, and certainly underestimated in the society of victorious positivism and materialism. And you can shrug off the problem of origin as much as you like, but it will still surface. There simply will not be solutions for it, because in modernity with its identity of all people, this problem is, as it were, not.
If we take now the same Germany, whence the next alarmed voice of reason and common sense, voiced now by the head of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, sounded, this is the number of just over 80 million people. 10%, according to the approaches of American sociologists, is 8 million. Divide (arithmetically) by 25 years, we get 320 thousand per year. So much - no more - must arrive in Germany so that, according to American sociological approaches, it is relatively painless.
According to the German publication DW (it is assumed that the most unbiased in this matter), “from the beginning of September 2015 until the end of July 2016, the EASY computer system registered 900 623 people” who arrived in Germany permanently. 900 thousand, Karl! Non-regulatory American 320 thousand - 900! Three times more than this same Germany, according to American sociologists, is able to integrate. And if we take the three generations necessary for assimilation, then almost ten times more than Germany is able to assimilate. And their flow continues to grow.
Now a few more touches to the picture. This flow has been observed (with a plus or minus difference of several hundred thousand people) the last few years.
And even if it was the most powerful, according to Horst Seehofer, in 2015, then over the past four years its power has not decreased much. But now, which Seehofer fears, he may also increase. And these are the figures that we correlate with the current German population of 80 million.
And finally, as they say, a cherry on the cake. About 20% of the population of Germany are either migrants or their descendants. That is, a fifth of the population itself is the descendants of migrants, who are now called upon to assimilate new flows of immigrants, ten times the ability of Germany to assimilate anyone in general.
The “new migration crisis”, which the head of the German Foreign Ministry is talking about, is still diplomatically mildly said. Catastrophe! Here is a more suitable term for Germany. But is it only Germany? Horst Seehofer gently as it alludes to all of Europe, calling for a common European effort.
Now let's see what, in the opinion of the same American sociologists, threatens a society that cannot cope with the integration and subsequent assimilation of visiting foreigners. (By the way, if someone has a question, where does this data come from, you can recommend any American textbook on sociology or in Russian, for example, the textbook “Sociology” edited by A. I. Kravchenko, published at the sociology faculty of Moscow State University.)
Non-assimilated migrants simply create enclaves in which they recreate their cultural environment, and after that they never assimilate again. And if before that they are wrong, that is, with errors, after the sleeves, as we say in Russia, to integrate, then it will be not just enclaves, but enclaves organized on the basis of criminal ethnic communities. American sociologists know what they are talking about, because both of them (and much more), created by incorrectly accepted migrants, are in more than enough quantity in America itself. And these are, as a rule, ailments that are simply impossible to eradicate.
To summarize some of the concerns of some European politicians regarding migration, we can say the following: it’s only in the minds of practical Germans, accustomed to the German order, a migrant is a person (alone) who (with the desire to become a typical German and reverence for great German culture, state and laws) comes to learn the language, draw up all the documents, get a job and pay taxes.
This idealistic picture has nothing to do with reality. Maybe once upon a time, 100 years ago, that was all. But now a migrant is a representative of a completely different cultural environment, arriving not alone, but with at least a family, and as a maximum with an entire tribe or settlement, only for material wealth and without any respect not only for culture, but also for the laws that he He doesn’t know, and (what is most offensive to the German consciousness) does not want to know.
Moreover, seeing around a huge number of fellow tribesmen, he is not even going to integrate, not to mention assimilation, because now he just does not need it.
He does not live surrounded by Germans of the burgher type, who speak German and completely comply with the laws and pay taxes. He lives among those like him, which means that he has no need to accept social laws alien to him, and sometimes unnatural for him, behavioral models, cultural codes, and even language. With whom to talk with him, if everyone is around?
The problem of migration in Europe (and in Germany in particular) has long gone beyond the framework of the economy or the technical ability of a European state to receive and accommodate migrants. This is now a challenge to the very essence of Europe. The only thing that does not cause any doubt is that Europe is undergoing serious civilizational transformations, the consequences of which will affect not only Europe itself, but also the situation around the world. After all, Europe is really the source of many civilization projects, the geographical axis of all Indo-European civilizations, the cultural matrix of many states and peoples. Once upon a time.
In fact, Horst Seehofer posed a broader question: “Will Europe be able to cope with the migration crisis that has overflowed European patience?” of a bad scenario, now the migrants themselves are assimilating not only European nations, but also the spirit of Europe, its values, approaches, views on existence and development.
Looking at what is happening, there is a suspicion that today very few seriously hope that Europe alone will cope with all its challenges. Not only with the migration crisis, which has long been, and not only now, what Horst Seehofer is worried about, got out of control. Will Europe stand as a whole civilizational fragment or will it finally decompose under the yoke of growing internal and external challenges? This is a question that should be asked not only by European politicians, but by all who are not indifferent to the fate of Europe.
The author’s point of view may not coincide with the position of the publisher.