Chinanews.com, October 19th. Liu Aihua, spokesperson for the National Bureau of Statistics and Director of the General Statistics Department of the National Economy, said on the 19th that the entire economy continued to recover steadily in the first three quarters, especially the growth of 4.9% in the third quarter. From various factors, whether it is From the perspective of demand, production, and the confidence and vitality of the entire market, we believe that in the fourth quarter of this year and throughout the year, there are foundations, conditions, and confidence to maintain the current situation.

  The State Council Information Office held a press conference on the 19th to introduce the operation of the national economy in the first three quarters of 2020.

Data map: Workers on the car production line are working.

Photo by China News Agency reporter Chen Chao

  Liu Aihua made an analysis from three aspects. First, look at demand. The first three quarters of this year have gradually recovered. From the investment perspective, fixed asset investment in the first three quarters of this year increased by 0.8% year-on-year, and for the first time this year, it turned from negative to positive.

In terms of leading indicators, the total planned investment in newly-started projects in the first three quarters increased by 14.6% year-on-year, and the growth rate was 1.1 percentage points faster than that in the first half of the year, and it was a double-digit growth.

The actual funds available for investment in fixed assets this year increased by 4.8%, which was the same as in the first half of the year.

Investment will continue the current trend of turning from negative to positive and further rebounding.

From the perspective of consumption, the quarterly growth rate of total retail sales of consumer goods turned positive for the first time this year.

  In terms of growth, 14 of the 18 commodity categories currently counted have turned positive, and 6 of them have achieved double-digit growth.

From the perspective of the service side, during the 11th and Mid-Autumn Golden Weeks just past, according to the monitoring of relevant departments, the average daily sales of key monitoring enterprises in retail and catering across the country increased by 4.9% compared with last year's 11th Golden Week.

Everyone can also feel the fireworks in scenic spots and cinemas during the Golden Week.

Calculated on a comparable basis, the number of tourists has recovered to about 80% of last year's, and income has recovered to about 70%. The recovery trend is very good. This shows that under the background of effective epidemic prevention and control, residents no matter whether they consume in kind or services. The needs are in the recovery process.

  Second, the industrial cycle continues to improve.

This year, we have intensified efforts to open up the supply chain jam points in the industrial chain to ensure the production of key industries and products. Overall, the internal circulation of the industry is gradually improving.

First, the capacity utilization rate is increasing quarter by quarter.

In the third quarter, the national industrial capacity utilization rate was 76.7%, up 2.3% from the second quarter.

Among them, the automobile manufacturing industry rebounded by 3 percentage points, the general equipment manufacturing industry rebounded by 1.7 percentage points, and the computer communications and other electronic equipment manufacturing industries rebounded by 0.5 percentage points.

The recovery of downstream industries lags behind that of upstream industries and has also improved in recent months.

In September, the value added of the consumer goods manufacturing industry above designated size changed from a 0.8% year-on-year decrease to an increase of 3.2% year-on-year, and it increased for the first time after a few months of decline.

Most industries in the service industry have achieved positive growth. In September, six of the eight industries that make up the service industry production index have achieved positive growth in their production indexes. Among them, the information transmission software and information technology service industries have experienced double-digit growth. the above.

  Third, the confidence of market players has gradually increased.

In the first three quarters of this year, through the full implementation of the relief policy for enterprises and the continuous deepening of the reform of "delegation, management and service", the sense of gain for enterprises has been significantly enhanced.

The first is that tax and fee reductions have achieved positive results. From January to August, the newly increased tax and fee reductions were 1.88 trillion yuan, which effectively reduced the burden on market entities.

In August, the cost per hundred yuan of operating income of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 0.47 yuan year-on-year.

Corporate profits have also continued to grow. In August, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 19.1% year-on-year, a positive increase for four consecutive months.

In August, the profits of service companies above designated size increased by 15.5% year-on-year, which was also a double-digit growth.

Among them, corporate profits in the high-tech service industry increased by 34.7%.

From the perspective of business expectations, the manufacturing purchasing managers’ index in September was 51.5%, and the non-manufacturing business activity was 55.9%, an increase of 0.5 and 0.7 percentage points respectively from the previous month. Above the tipping point.

  Liu Aihua pointed out that these three aspects are very beneficial for the next stage to further exert the resilience of the super-large market and stimulate the demand potential of the super-large market.

On the whole, I am full of confidence in the economic development of the year.