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Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdel Mahdi, a freelance, non-partisan and non-partisan independent, has announced that he will resign on Friday (November 29th). What can we expect now?
In Iraq, the protest took a political turn on Friday. The Prime Minister finally announced that he would resign after two months of violently repressed opposition. Adel Abdel Mahdi's statement came just hours after Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani, the country's most listened to man, asked Parliament to withdraw his trust.
According to our correspondent in Baghdad, Lucile Wassermann , this is a first victory for the protesters, but an unfinished victory for the moment. For the moment, this shows above all the impact that may still have the great Ayatollah Ali Sistani, the highest Shiite religious authority in the country , on Iraqi politics through his Friday dictated preaching.
A period of uncertainty is now opening up, as we will have to wait for the Parliament to meet to approve this resignation, even though this remains the most likely option. It remains to know what will happen, it is the whole question and in particular the one that the protestors ask themselves, who did not ask not only the departure of the Prime Minister, but of all the political class .
The protesters want the Parliament to adopt a new electoral law as soon as possible and hold early elections. But political dealings could take a lot of time - months - and this instability will not help resolve the crisis. " The only certainty is that there is no certainty, " said Adel Bakawan, director of the Center for Sociology of Iraq (CSI).
"In order to find a prime minister, it is absolutely necessary that the five major Shiite political parties agree, the agreement of the four major Sunni political parties, the agreement of two major Kurdish political parties, but also the agreement of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Iran and the United States, "he adds. Also, it is unlikely, in the eyes of the researcher, that a consensual personality is found.
According to him, Iraq will enter a period of general uncertainty. " Without the request of Ayatollah Sistani and without the agreement of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Mr. Mahdi could never have resigned. (...) Ayatollah Sistani is well aware that any decision concerning political life in Iraq must pass through the Iranian filter and vice versa, "Bakawan insists.
Elections were held in May 2018, and in October Adel Abdel Mahdi was found. It is unlikely that a consensus figure will be found. That is why I say that Iraq will enter a period of general uncertainty.
Adel Bakawan, director of CSI, the Center for Sociology of Iraq 30/11/2019 - by Sami Boukhelifa Play