"The seed finally seems to be planted, I don't think we should go with the water now. You have to be cautious." With this graphic image, a high diplomatic source summed up yesterday the dilemma in which the hard core of the Eurozone is now. Germany, on the technical edge of the recession, faces on the one hand a constant pressure from community partners and international institutions to apply a 180-degree turn to its economic policy and start spending. It has unemployment and debt at low levels, the deficit is a concept that is foreign and trade surplus. But even so, or so according to critics, growth does not come.

But in addition, and for the first time in a very clear way, there is a growing runrun within the country that calls for changes in draft. Of course, from the SPD, the Merkel Government partner and always in favor of a less orthodox economic policy. But also from business associates, think tanks, economists and some voices within the CSU, which add to those outside. This Friday, in Helsinki, the tonic of the Eurogroup returned to that line. "Countries that have a certain budgetary margin should use it to cope with the economic slowdown," said the Portuguese minister and head of the entity Mario Centeno, endorsing the words of Christine Lagarde a few days ago .

"Monetary policy cannot do everything," agreed Latvian Valdis Dombrovskis, vice president of the European Commission with Juncker and will repeat the next term as one of the executive vice presidents of Germany's Ursula von der Leyen. Repeating also, word by word, what Mario Draghi reiterated for the umpteenth time on Thursday from Frankfurt.

It is undeniable that something moves in Berlin. And a lot. Important developments have been published in the last week. Handelsblatt, Reuters and Bloomberg have had access to high sources that open the door quite clearly to finally accept the European Deposit Guarantee Fund, the third pillar of the Banking Union that Germany has been blocking for more than five years, when estimating that the risks in the continental periphery are still too high. There are also more or less defined plans to attempt a more expansive budget execution, through "shadow" items that can circumvent the approved approved spending rules. And yesterday, in an interview with a Dutch media, the German Klaus Regling , president of the Mede, the Eurozone rescue mechanism that now expands its functions, surprised showing himself in favor of paying less attention to the ratio of the deficit in favor of focusing on debt. Something that makes sense and that he elaborates with nuances, but that is neither casual nor innocent, in the mouth of one of the greatest prophets of the Eurozone orthodoxy in the last decade.

In Helsinki, German Finance Minister Olaf Scholz did not participate in the debate, either nationally or in general. It was not expected. This week has presented a budget draft that, once again, is neutral. But his team highlights the figure of his chief advisor, Jakob von Weizsaecker, another social democrat whose vision is well known in Brussels circles and much more in favor of public investment than his predecessors in the position of chief economist of the almighty ministry. Someone who slowly tries to change the philosophy of the department and the worldview so moralizing that prevails for decades in Berlin. That is why in some capitals and in Brussels itself, there are those who advocate a certain patience. You cannot force a giant like Germany to change and everyone knows that if a turn comes it will be for internal reasons. After many years a very interesting window of opportunity opens now. "Let it fall by its own weight," says the same diplomatic source, with the possible recession coming into the next quarter in mind.

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